Result
23/09/2025 at 21:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
56.9% | Draw
22.4% | Necaxa
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.57) |
4.2 ↑
(4) |
4.47 ↓
(4.5) |
6.6%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 3.
- In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Necaxa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Guadalajara is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:21. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Necaxa?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Necaxa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Necaxa were as follows:
17.01.2025
Necaxa
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:2
22.10.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Necaxa
3:2
20.02.2024
Necaxa
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
13.07.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Necaxa
2:0
08.04.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Necaxa
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
