Result
2:2
28/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 32
- Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Abdikholikov B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Badalov E. ↓, Orujov N. ↑,
- 46', Mammadov M. ↓, Salyanskiy A. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Vasquez R. ⚽, Abdikholikov B. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Sambou B. ⚽, Shtogrin A. (A),
- 68', Vasquez R. ↓, Mossi T. ↑,
- 68', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Nimely S. ↑,
- 70', Mossi T. 🟨,
- 71', Kuc E. ↓, Alex Fernandes ↑,
- 83', Abdullazada S. ↓, Kharaishvili G. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Shtogrin A. ⚽,
- 90', Tashkyn S. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
- 90+4', Seck M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ozobic F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Camalov E. 🟨,
- 90+7', Kharaishvili G. 🟨,
- 90+7', Mustafayev V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit
42.4% | Draw
30.4% | Neftchi Baku
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumgayit's performance.Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftchi Baku might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumgayit that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftchi Baku could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.74) |
3.25 ↑
(3.08) |
3.64 ↑
(2.45) |
1.2%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sumgayit won 1.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Neftchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sumgayit won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:27 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sumgayit won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Neftchi Baku?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Sumgayit?
Neftchi Baku has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
21.02.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:0
08.12.2024
Sumgayit
-
Neftchi Baku
2:0
28.09.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:1
07.04.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:1
09.02.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:1
Latest results of Sumgayit
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sumqayit | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Karvan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Shamakhi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Gabala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Araz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Zira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sabah Baku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Qarabag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
