Result
2:2
15/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Badalov E. 🟨,
- 31', Rustamli R. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Faraj I. ⚽,
- 34', Abdullazada S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kehat R. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 46', Rustamli R. ↓, Ramalingom A. ↑,
- 48', Senhadji R. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Sambou B. ⚽,
- 63', Murata M. ↓, Orujov N. ↑,
- 63', Jankovic A. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 72', Sambou B. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Simon N. ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 2, Abdullazada S. ⚽,
- 82', Costin C. ↓, Sacko F. ↑,
- 82', Faraj I. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 89', Rezabala J. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
- 90', Senhadji R. ↓, Haqverdi H. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
50.8% | Draw
27.8% | Sumgayit
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-2%)
Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.75) |
3.29 ↑
(3.2) |
4.26 ↓
(4.35) |
9.6%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sumgayit will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Sumgayit (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 25%). Sumgayit (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 2.
- Neftchi is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sumgayit is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Neftchi has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neftchi is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Sumgayit?
Neftchi Baku has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Neftchi Baku?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit were as follows:
21.09.2025
Sumgayit
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
28.04.2025
Sumgayit
-
Neftchi Baku
2:2
21.02.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:0
08.12.2024
Sumgayit
-
Neftchi Baku
2:0
28.09.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
