Result
2:2
15/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Badalov E. 🟨,
- 31', Rustamli R. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Faraj I. ⚽,
- 34', Abdullazada S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kehat R. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 46', Rustamli R. ↓, Ramalingom A. ↑,
- 48', Senhadji R. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Sambou B. ⚽,
- 63', Murata M. ↓, Orujov N. ↑,
- 63', Jankovic A. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 72', Sambou B. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Simon N. ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 2, Abdullazada S. ⚽,
- 82', Costin C. ↓, Sacko F. ↑,
- 82', Faraj I. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 89', Rezabala J. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
- 90', Senhadji R. ↓, Haqverdi H. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
50.8% | Draw
27.8% | Sumgayit
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.75) |
3.29 ↑
(3.2) |
4.26 ↓
(4.35) |
9.6%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Sumgayit will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 2.
- Neftchi is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sumgayit is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Neftchi has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neftchi is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Sumgayit?
Neftchi Baku has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Neftchi Baku?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit were as follows:
21.09.2025
Sumgayit
-
Neftchi Baku
0:2
28.04.2025
Sumgayit
-
Neftchi Baku
2:2
21.02.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:0
08.12.2024
Sumgayit
-
Neftchi Baku
2:0
28.09.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Sumgayit
1:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 29:9 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 36 |
| 3 | Zira | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | Turan Tovuz | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Sumqayit | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | 5 | 27 |
| 6 | Araz | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 16 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 11:39 | -28 | 9 |
| 11 | Gabala | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 12 | Karvan | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12:34 | -22 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
