Result
0:1
09/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Mathew I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ortiz L. ↓, Khachayev M. ↑,
- 46', Ozobic F. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Jo Batista ⚽, Silva J. (A),
- 60', Mahmudov E. ↓, Safarov E. ↑,
- 60', Breno Almeida ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 68', Sambou B. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
- 80', Ozobic F. ↓, Olabe R. ↑,
- 86', Guseynov A. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 87', Sadykhov R. ↓, Yusifli F. ↑,
- 90+5', Silva J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
39.4% | Draw
31.9% | Turan Tovuz
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Turan Tovuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.28) |
2.88 ↓
(3.08) |
3.2 ↑
(2.96) |
8.8%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Turan (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Baku will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 50%). Turan (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Turan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Neftchi might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Turan Tovuz?
Neftchi Baku has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Neftchi Baku?
Turan Tovuz has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
28.11.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Neftchi Baku
0:0
29.08.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Turan Tovuz
0:1
10.05.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Neftchi Baku
1:2
10.03.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Turan Tovuz
1:1
21.12.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Neftchi Baku
1:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
