Result
2:4
13/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
- Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ozobic F. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Kuc E. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Raphael Utzig (Pen),
- 44', Ruan Renato 🟨,
- 45+1', Kuc E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Salyanskiy A. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
- 46', Guima ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
- 46', Isayev M. ↓, Djibrilla I. ↑,
- 55', Salahly A. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 2, Volkovi D. ⚽,
- 68', Kuc E. ↓, Raphael Guzzo ↑,
- 68', Sheydayev R. ↓, Darboe D. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Raphael Utzig (Pen),
- 77', 2 - 4, Nuriyev C. ⚽,
- 80', Ozobic F. ↓, Alex Fernandes ↑,
- 80', Aliyev A. ↓, Shtogrin A. ↑,
- 81', Raphael Utzig ↓, Zebli P. ↑,
- 87', Alex Fernandes 🟨,
- 90', Soumah S. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
27.3% | Draw
31.4% | Zira
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftchi Baku that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Neftchi Baku - Zira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(3.93) |
2.92 ↓
(3.01) |
2.22 ↑
(1.96) |
9.2%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 3.
- Recent matches Neftchi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Zira is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Zira is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Neftchi won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:7 (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Zira?
Neftchi Baku has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Neftchi Baku?
Zira has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Zira were as follows:
10.02.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
1:2
23.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
2:1
15.09.2024
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
2:0
20.04.2024
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
3:1
18.02.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
1:0
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sumqayit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Turan Tovuz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shamakhi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Karvan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Gabala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Araz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Zira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Qarabag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sabah Baku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Imisli FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
