Zira vs Neftchi Baku – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Zira - Neftchi Baku
Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
05
Yellow Cards
63
Red Cards
10
Total shots
84
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
30
Corner Kicks
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Papunashvili G. ,
  • 39', D'Almeida S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Gomis I. 🟨,
  • 57', Bogomolskiy E. , Nuriyev C. ,
  • 64', D'Almeida S. , Safarov E. ,
  • 64', Khachayev M. , Seck M. ,
  • 64', Salyanskiy A. , Sambou B. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Vargas F. ,
  • 71', Safarov E. 🟨,
  • 72', Mahmudov E. , Curci A. ,
  • 76', Martins Junior , Alasgarov N. ,
  • 76', Ibrahimli I. , Guima ,
  • 78', Faraj I. , Ortiz L. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Sambou B. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Nuriyev C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Ruan Renato ,
  • 90+10', 🟨,
  • 90+10', Gomis I. 🟨,
  • 90+11', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Zira
37.3%
Draw
32.1%
Neftchi Baku
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2% 26% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zira's form might have worsened.
  • Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Baku's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Baku, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zira - Neftchi Baku Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (1.66)
    2.87
    (3.33)
    3.01
    (4.75)
    8.7%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Zira - Neftchi Baku?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Neftchi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 3.
    • Zira is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Neftchi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Zira could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zira - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Neftchi Baku - Zira 2:4
    10.02.2025 Zira - Neftchi Baku 1:2
    23.11.2024 Neftchi Baku - Zira 2:1
    15.09.2024 Zira - Neftchi Baku 2:0
    20.04.2024 Zira - Neftchi Baku 3:1
    Latest results of Zira
    26.09.2025 İmişli - Zira 1:1
    19.09.2025 Zira - Shamakhi 2:1
    12.09.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Zira 1:1
    30.08.2025 Zira - Kapaz 5:0
    25.08.2025 Gabala - Zira 1:2
    Latest results of Neftchi Baku
    27.09.2025 Neftchi Baku - Karvan 0:0
    21.09.2025 Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku 0:2
    14.09.2025 Neftchi Baku - Sabah 0:0
    29.08.2025 Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz 0:1
    22.08.2025 İmişli - Neftchi Baku 0:0
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turan Tovuz750210:4615
    2Araz742110:9114
    3Qarabag641111:2913
    4Zira734014:7713
    5Sabah Baku63217:3411
    6Sumqayit73229:7211
    7Shamakhi72329:729
    8Neftci Baku71515:418
    9Imisli FK72235:7-28
    10Karvan71244:13-95
    11Gabala71156:9-34
    12Kapaz70072:20-180

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
         
          Relegation ~ I Liqa