Result
0:0
23/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shtogrin A. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 46', D'Almeida S. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
- 61', Sambou B. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
- 66', Nuriyev C. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
- 66', Papunashvili G. ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
- 77', Konate B. ↓, Guima ↑,
- 77', Mickels L. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
- 80', Faraj I. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
33% | Draw
31.1% | Zira
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neftchi Baku - Zira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.45) |
2.94 ↑
(2.82) |
2.55 ↓
(2.88) |
9.2%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Zira?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Zira will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Zira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Neftchi has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Zira has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Zira?
Neftchi Baku has won 8 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Neftchi Baku?
Zira has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Zira were as follows:
02.12.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
1:0
03.10.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
2:2
13.04.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
2:4
10.02.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
1:2
23.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
2:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
