Result
2:2
03/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Umudlu K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Papunashvili G. ⚽,
- 39', D'Almeida S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Gomis I. 🟨,
- 57', Bogomolskiy E. ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
- 64', D'Almeida S. ↓, Safarov E. ↑,
- 64', Khachayev M. ↓, Seck M. ↑,
- 64', Salyanskiy A. ↓, Sambou B. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Vargas F. ⚽,
- 71', Safarov E. 🟨,
- 72', Mahmudov E. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
- 76', Martins Junior ↓, Alasgarov N. ↑,
- 76', Ibrahimli I. ↓, Guima ↑,
- 78', Faraj I. ↓, Ortiz L. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Sambou B. ⚽,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+1', Nuriyev C. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Ruan Renato ⚽,
- 90+10', 🟨,
- 90+10', Gomis I. 🟨,
- 90+11', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zira
37.3% | Draw
32.1% | Neftchi Baku
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zira's form might have worsened.Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Baku's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+18.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Baku, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zira - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(1.66) |
2.87 ↓
(3.33) |
3.01 ↓
(4.75) |
8.7%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Zira - Neftchi Baku?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Neftchi will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 3.
- Zira is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Neftchi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zira could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Neftchi Baku?
Zira has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Zira?
Neftchi Baku has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zira - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
13.04.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
2:4
10.02.2025
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
1:2
23.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Zira
2:1
15.09.2024
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
2:0
20.04.2024
Zira
-
Neftchi Baku
3:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gabala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
