Result
05/05/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Karvan
11.6% | Draw
18.6% | Neftchi Baku
69.8% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Karvan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Neftchi Baku have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Karvan - Neftchi Baku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.85
(7.85) |
4.88 ↑
(4.88) |
1.3
(1.3) |
10.2%
(10.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- Karvan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Neftchi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Neftchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Neftchi is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Neftchi Baku?
Karvan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Karvan?
Neftchi Baku has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Neftchi Baku were as follows:
20.12.2025
Karvan
-
Neftchi Baku
1:2
27.09.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Karvan
0:0
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
