Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 22
- Referee: Riskullaev A. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Ciger B. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Khozhimirzaev A. ⚽,
- 21', Abdusalomov J. 🟨,
- 34', Yuldoshev I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yagudin R. ↓, Nemanov E. ↑,
- 74', Friday R. ↓, Oblakulov B. ↑,
- 77', Odilov A. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
- 77', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
- 78', Gofurov A. 🟨,
- 81', Jumaboev J. 🟨,
- 81', Abdurakhmonov F. ↓, Khalilov K. ↑,
- 81', Abdusalomov J. ↓, Stanojevic M. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Jovovic V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Fargona
53.6% | Draw
27.2% | Dinamo Samarqand
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Neftchi Fargona - Dinamo Samarqand Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.61) |
3.49 ↓
(3.74) |
4.96 ↓
(5.38) |
5.2%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Dinamo Samarqand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.
- We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Dinamo Samarqand?
Neftchi Fargona has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Samarqand won against Neftchi Fargona?
Dinamo Samarqand has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - Dinamo Samarqand were as follows:
02.07.2025
Dinamo Samarqand
-
Neftchi Fargona
0:2
10.08.2024
Neftchi Fargona
-
Dinamo Samarqand
3:2
10.03.2024
Dinamo Samarqand
-
Neftchi Fargona
0:1
18.09.2022
Neftchi Fargona
-
Dinamo Samarqand
4:1
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Latest results of Dinamo Samarqand
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:20 | 25 | 43 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | OKMK | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 40 |
| 6 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 36 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 26 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:29 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Andijan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 15:41 | -26 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
