New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship New Mexico United - Charleston Battery
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.64
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Long passes
42% (16/38)50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
70% (85/121)56% (53/94)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.78
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1912
Tackles
55% (11/20)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
1715
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.640.90
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Vargas M. 🟨,
  • 32', Houssou N. 🟨,
  • 38', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Jabang O. (Own goal),
  • 60', Segbers M. , Rubin R. ,
  • 60', Myers M. , Jennings C. ,
  • 60', Kelly J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 65', Vargas M. , Rivas S. ,
  • 65', Seymore W. , Gloster C. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Rubin R. , Jennings C. (A),
  • 73', Ycaza E. , Allan C. ,
  • 76', Akale M. , Gaines M. ,
  • 76', Bailey Z. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 76', Amang T. , Hurst G. ,
  • 88', Hurst G. 🟨,
  • 89', Torres J. , Archer L. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
28.7%
Draw
28.2%
Charleston Battery
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 25.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.4% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.
  • Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • New Mexico United - Charleston Battery Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.49)
    3.27
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.46)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by New Mexico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charleston Battery is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Charleston Battery were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Charleston Battery - New Mexico United 4:0
    02.09.2023 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 0:1
    Latest results of Charleston Battery
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )