Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/489) | 82% (304/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (414/489) | 82% (304/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (85/121) | 56% (53/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Vargas M. 🟨,
- 32', Houssou N. 🟨,
- 38', Jabang O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 1, Jabang O. (Own goal),
- 60', Segbers M. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
- 60', Myers M. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
- 60', Kelly J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
- 65', Vargas M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 65', Seymore W. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Rubin R. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
- 73', Ycaza E. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
- 76', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
- 76', Bailey Z. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 76', Amang T. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
- 88', Hurst G. 🟨,
- 89', Torres J. ↓, Archer L. ↑,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
28.7% | Draw
28.2% | Charleston Battery
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-5%)
New Mexico United - Charleston Battery Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.49) |
3.27 ↓
(3.55) |
2.15 ↓
(2.46) |
8.3%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by New Mexico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charleston Battery is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Charleston Battery?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleston Battery won against New Mexico United?
Charleston Battery has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Charleston Battery were as follows:
23.03.2024
Charleston Battery
-
New Mexico United
4:0
02.09.2023
New Mexico United
-
Charleston Battery
0:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Charleston Battery
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
