Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
85% (414/489) | 82% (304/372) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.90 | 0.64 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
85% (414/489) | 82% (304/372) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (16/38) | 50% (30/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (85/121) | 56% (53/94) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.78 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (11/20) | 43% (6/14) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 15 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.64 | 0.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.36 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Vargas M. 🟨,
- 32', Houssou N. 🟨,
- 38', Jabang O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 1, Jabang O. (Own goal),
- 60', Segbers M. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
- 60', Myers M. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
- 60', Kelly J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
- 65', Vargas M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 65', Seymore W. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Rubin R. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
- 73', Ycaza E. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
- 76', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
- 76', Bailey Z. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 76', Amang T. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
- 88', Hurst G. 🟨,
- 89', Torres J. ↓, Archer L. ↑,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United 28.7% | Draw 28.2% | Charleston Battery 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-5%)
New Mexico United - Charleston Battery Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.22 ↑ (2.49) |
3.27 ↓ (3.55) |
2.15 ↓ (2.46) |
8.3% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by New Mexico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charleston Battery is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Charleston Battery?
New Mexico United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleston Battery won against New Mexico United?
Charleston Battery has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Charleston Battery were as follows:
23.03.2024
Charleston Battery
-
New Mexico United
4:0
02.09.2023
New Mexico United
-
Charleston Battery
0:1
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Charleston Battery
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )