New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship New Mexico United - Charleston Battery
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.64
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Long passes
42% (16/38)50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
70% (85/121)56% (53/94)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.78
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1912
Tackles
55% (11/20)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
1715
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.640.90
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Vargas M. 🟨,
  • 32', Houssou N. 🟨,
  • 38', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Jabang O. (Own goal),
  • 60', Segbers M. , Rubin R. ,
  • 60', Myers M. , Jennings C. ,
  • 60', Kelly J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 65', Vargas M. , Rivas S. ,
  • 65', Seymore W. , Gloster C. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Rubin R. , Jennings C. (A),
  • 73', Ycaza E. , Allan C. ,
  • 76', Akale M. , Gaines M. ,
  • 76', Bailey Z. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 76', Amang T. , Hurst G. ,
  • 88', Hurst G. 🟨,
  • 89', Torres J. , Archer L. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
28.7%
Draw
28.2%
Charleston Battery
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 25.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.4% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.
  • Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • New Mexico United - Charleston Battery Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.49)
    3.27
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.46)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by New Mexico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charleston Battery is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Charleston Battery were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Charleston Battery - New Mexico United 4:0
    02.09.2023 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 0:1
    Latest results of Charleston Battery
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )