New Mexico United vs Charleston Battery – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.900.64
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
85% (414/489)82% (304/372)
Long passes
42% (16/38)50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
70% (85/121)56% (53/94)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.78
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1912
Tackles
55% (11/20)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
1715
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.640.90
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Vargas M. 🟨,
  • 32', Houssou N. 🟨,
  • 38', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Jabang O. (Own goal),
  • 60', Segbers M. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
  • 60', Myers M. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
  • 60', Kelly J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 65', Vargas M. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
  • 65', Seymore W. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Rubin R. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
  • 73', Ycaza E. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
  • 76', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
  • 76', Bailey Z. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
  • 76', Amang T. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
  • 88', Hurst G. 🟨,
  • 89', Torres J. ↓, Archer L. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
28.7%		Draw
28.2%		Charleston Battery
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 25.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.4% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.
  • Charleston Battery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charleston Battery's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (-5%)
    •

    New Mexico United - Charleston Battery Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.22 ↑
    (2.49)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.55)    		 2.15 ↓
    (2.46)    		 8.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent performances by New Mexico have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charleston Battery is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Charleston Battery were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Charleston Battery - New Mexico United 4:0
    02.09.2023 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 0:1
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    04.07.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United 1:0
    21.06.2025 New Mexico United - San Antonio 4:2
    14.06.2025 Lexington - New Mexico United 2:1
    07.06.2025 New Mexico United - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 1:1
    31.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 4:3
    Latest results of Charleston Battery
    06.07.2025 Charleston Battery - North Carolina 1:0 ✺
    02.07.2025 Birmingham Legion - Charleston Battery 0:0 ✺
    21.06.2025 Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising 4:1 ✺
    18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0
    14.06.2025 Hartford Athletic - Charleston Battery 1:2
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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