Result
3:0
03/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.34 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
81% (242/297) | 86% (378/442) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.34 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.23 | 0.75 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (242/297) | 86% (378/442) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (31/65) | 70% (35/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (52/81) | 70% (80/115) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (3/12) | 24% (4/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.11 | 0.70 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 83% (5/6) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
17 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.75 | 1.23 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.75 | -1.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
- 15', Maples T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pondeca T. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
- 46', Bruce D. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Avila R. (A),
- 62', Gaines M. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
- 67', Avila R. ↓, Calvillo E. ↑,
- 75', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Torres ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
- 77', Seymore W. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 78', Bailey Z. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Daroma F. (A),
- 85', Ruiz R. 🟨,
- 87', Coronado R. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
- 87', Cabrera A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 90', Ackwei W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gloster C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Amang T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive 40.9% | Draw 27.3% | New Mexico United 31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+16.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.26 ↓ (3.49) |
3.39 ↓ (3.46) |
2.91 ↑ (1.97) |
8.2% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against New Mexico United?
El Paso Locomotive has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United were as follows:
16.04.2025
New Mexico United
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:3
22.03.2025
New Mexico United
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:0
27.07.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
New Mexico United
1:2
06.04.2024
New Mexico United
-
El Paso Locomotive
3:2
01.07.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
New Mexico United
0:1
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )