El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
3:0
03/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.49
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
218
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
81% (242/297)86% (378/442)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.75
Total shots
218
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
81% (242/297)86% (378/442)
Long passes
48% (31/65)70% (35/50)
Passes in final third
64% (52/81)70% (80/115)
Crosses
25% (3/12)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.70
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1119
Tackles
83% (10/12)83% (5/6)
Duels won
3732
Clearances
2112
Interceptions
174
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
0.751.23
Goals prevented
0.75-1.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
  • 15', Maples T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pondeca T. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
  • 46', Bruce D. 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Avila R. (A),
  • 62', Gaines M. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
  • 67', Avila R. ↓, Calvillo E. ↑,
  • 75', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
  • 75', Gabriel Torres ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
  • 77', Seymore W. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
  • 78', Bailey Z. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Daroma F. (A),
  • 85', Ruiz R. 🟨,
  • 87', Coronado R. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
  • 87', Cabrera A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
  • 90', Ackwei W. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gloster C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Amang T. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


El Paso Locomotive
40.9%		Draw
27.3%		New Mexico United
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 26.7% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 25.8% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.26 ↓
    (3.49)    		 3.39 ↓
    (3.46)    		 2.91 ↑
    (1.97)    		 8.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United were as follows:
    16.04.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 2:3
    22.03.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    27.07.2024 El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United 1:2
    06.04.2024 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 3:2
    01.07.2023 El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United 0:1
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    26.04.2025 Texoma - El Paso Locomotive 0:1
    19.04.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    16.04.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 2:3
    13.04.2025 Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive 3:1
    05.04.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Lexington 2:1
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    26.04.2025 New Mexico United - Union Omaha 2:0
    23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0
    16.04.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 2:3
    12.04.2025 New Mexico United - North Carolina 1:0
    29.03.2025 Miami - New Mexico United 0:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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