Result
3:0
03/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (242/297) | 86% (378/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (242/297) | 86% (378/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 70% (35/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (52/81) | 70% (80/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -1.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Gabriel Torres (A),
- 15', Maples T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pondeca T. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
- 46', Bruce D. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Avila R. (A),
- 62', Gaines M. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
- 67', Avila R. ↓, Calvillo E. ↑,
- 75', Quezada A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 75', Gabriel Torres ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
- 77', Seymore W. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 78', Bailey Z. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Cabrera A. ⚽, Daroma F. (A),
- 85', Ruiz R. 🟨,
- 87', Coronado R. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
- 87', Cabrera A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 90', Ackwei W. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gloster C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Amang T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
40.9% | Draw
27.3% | New Mexico United
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Paso Locomotive's performance.New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Paso Locomotive that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+16.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(3.49) |
3.39 ↓
(3.46) |
2.91 ↑
(1.97) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Paso won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against New Mexico United?
El Paso Locomotive has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United were as follows:
16.04.2025
New Mexico United
-
El Paso Locomotive
2:3
22.03.2025
New Mexico United
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:0
27.07.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
New Mexico United
1:2
06.04.2024
New Mexico United
-
El Paso Locomotive
3:2
01.07.2023
El Paso Locomotive
-
New Mexico United
0:1
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
