Louisville City vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Louisville City - New Mexico United
Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.24
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
84% (316/375)80% (266/332)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.02
Total shots
205
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
285
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
84% (316/375)80% (266/332)
Long passes
50% (15/30)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
73% (124/170)70% (38/54)
Crosses
30% (12/40)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.54
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1310
Tackles
88% (7/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3538
Clearances
1131
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.020.28
Goals prevented
0.020.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ordonez A. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
  • 67', Serrano R. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
  • 67', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
  • 67', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
  • 69', Jabang O. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
  • 72', Amang T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
  • 73', Hurst G. ↓, Ryden K. ↑,
  • 73', Akale M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
  • 83', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
65.4%		Draw
19.9%		New Mexico United
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 21.5% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 20.6% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
    •

    Louisville City - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.51)    		 4.65 ↑
    (4.29)    		 6.28 ↑
    (5.21)    		 8.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Louisville City - New Mexico United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New Mexico's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Louisville City is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - New Mexico United were as follows:
    03.08.2024 New Mexico United - Louisville City 0:1
    30.09.2023 New Mexico United - Louisville City 2:0
    Latest results of Louisville City
    16.08.2025 Miami - Louisville City 2:4
    09.08.2025 Louisville City - Charleston Battery 4:1
    02.08.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 4:1
    29.07.2025 Louisville City - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:5
    26.07.2025 Lexington - Louisville City 1:2
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    16.08.2025 New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights 2:2
    09.08.2025 Tulsa - New Mexico United 5:2
    30.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 4:0 ✺
    26.07.2025 San Antonio - New Mexico United 2:3
    12.07.2025 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 1:2
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3Hartford Athletic281351046:321444
    4Loudoun281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 27128741:241744
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio271071034:34037
    6Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    7Lexington28981129:37-835
    8Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    9Orange County SC27881141:44-332
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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