Louisville City vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Louisville City - New Mexico United
Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.24
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
84% (316/375)80% (266/332)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.02
Total shots
205
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
285
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
84% (316/375)80% (266/332)
Long passes
50% (15/30)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
73% (124/170)70% (38/54)
Crosses
30% (12/40)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.54
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1310
Tackles
88% (7/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3538
Clearances
1131
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.020.28
Goals prevented
0.020.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ordonez A. , Totsch S. ,
  • 67', Serrano R. , Ownby B. ,
  • 67', Goodrum P. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 67', Morris J. , Dia A. ,
  • 69', Jabang O. , Rivas S. ,
  • 72', Amang T. , Archimede L. ,
  • 73', Hurst G. , Ryden K. ,
  • 73', Akale M. , Harris D. ,
  • 83', Wilson J. , Perez A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
65.4%
Draw
19.9%
New Mexico United
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 21.5% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 20.6% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Louisville City - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.51)
    4.65
    (4.29)
    6.28
    (5.21)
    8.2%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Louisville City - New Mexico United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New Mexico's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Louisville City is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - New Mexico United were as follows:
    03.08.2024 New Mexico United - Louisville City 0:1
    30.09.2023 New Mexico United - Louisville City 2:0
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston21152445:222347
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2194832:33-131
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )