Result
0:0
23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (316/375) | 80% (266/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (316/375) | 80% (266/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (124/170) | 70% (38/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (12/40) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Ordonez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ordonez A. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
- 67', Serrano R. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 67', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
- 67', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
- 69', Jabang O. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
- 72', Amang T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 73', Hurst G. ↓, Ryden K. ↑,
- 73', Akale M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
- 83', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Louisville City
65.4% | Draw
19.9% | New Mexico United
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Louisville City - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.51) |
4.65 ↑
(4.29) |
6.28 ↑
(5.21) |
8.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Louisville City - New Mexico United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- New Mexico's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Louisville City is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against New Mexico United?
Louisville City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Louisville City?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - New Mexico United were as follows:
03.08.2024
New Mexico United
-
Louisville City
0:1
30.09.2023
New Mexico United
-
Louisville City
2:0
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
