Louisville City vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY).

USL Championship
Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	0.24
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
12	5
Passes
84% (316/375)	80% (266/332)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	0.02
Total shots
20	5
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
11	2
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
12	5
Touches in opposition box
28	5
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
84% (316/375)	80% (266/332)
Long passes
50% (15/30)	44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
73% (124/170)	70% (38/54)
Crosses
30% (12/40)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	0.54
Throw-ins
23	18
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
88% (7/8)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
35	38
Clearances
11	31
Interceptions
15	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.02	0.28
Goals prevented
0.02	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Ordonez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ordonez A. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
67', Serrano R. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
67', Goodrum P. ↓, Lancaster C. ↑,
67', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
69', Jabang O. ↓, Rivas S. ↑,
72', Amang T. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
73', Hurst G. ↓, Ryden K. ↑,
73', Akale M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
83', Wilson J. ↓, Perez A. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Louisville City
65.4%

Draw
19.9%

New Mexico United
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.5%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

20.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Louisville City - New Mexico United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	4.65 ↑ (4.29)	6.28 ↑ (5.21)	8.2% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Louisville City - New Mexico United?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Louisville City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Louisville City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
New Mexico's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Louisville City is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against New Mexico United?

Louisville City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Louisville City?

New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - New Mexico United were as follows:

03.08.2024 New Mexico United - Louisville City 0:1

30.09.2023 New Mexico United - Louisville City 2:0

Latest results of Louisville City

16.08.2025 Miami - Louisville City 2:4 ✺

09.08.2025 Louisville City - Charleston Battery 4:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 4:1 ✺

29.07.2025 Louisville City - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:5 ✺

26.07.2025 Lexington - Louisville City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of New Mexico United

16.08.2025 New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights 2:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Tulsa - New Mexico United 5:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 4:0 ✺

26.07.2025 San Antonio - New Mexico United 2:3 ✺

12.07.2025 New Mexico United - Charleston Battery 1:2 ✺

USL Championship Table

2026

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Charleston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Indy Eleven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Detroit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Louisville City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Miami FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Hartford Athletic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Loudoun	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rhode Island	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Sporting Jax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Brooklyn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Orange County SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	New Mexico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sacramento Republic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	FC Tulsa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Colorado Springs	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	San Antonio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Phoenix Rising	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Oakland Roots	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Monterey Bay	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Las Vegas Lights	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	El Paso	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Lexington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)