New Mexico United vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship New Mexico United - Orange County SC
Result
3:3
11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.99
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
88% (473/536)79% (212/267)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.281.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.533.05
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
88% (473/536)79% (212/267)
Long passes
56% (24/43)35% (16/46)
Passes in final third
83% (114/138)49% (33/67)
Crosses
36% (5/14)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.561.31
Throw-ins
1214
Fouls
1111
Tackles
70% (7/10)75% (6/8)
Duels won
3130
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
3.052.53
Goals prevented
0.05-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Trager T. , Hegardt C. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Hurst G. , Seymore W. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 1, Hurst G. , Harris D. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 2, Trager T. , Kelly S. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 3, Kelly S. , Hegardt C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jabang O. , Moguel C. ,
  • 46', Ryden K. , Keller K. ,
  • 51', 3 - 3, Keller K. , Maples T. (A),
  • 56', Pinto M. 🟨,
  • 62', Dunbar C. , War M. ,
  • 69', Akale M. 🟨,
  • 69', Seymore W. , Lindsey J. ,
  • 74', Trager T. , Sylla O. ,
  • 79', Gloster C. , Amang T. ,
  • 79', Vargas M. , Archimede L. ,
  • 85', Guimaraes P. , Miles A. ,
  • 85', Pinto M. , Partida K. ,
  • 86', Miles A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Mexico United
46.7%
Draw
26.7%
Orange County SC
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 26.7% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.8% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • New Mexico United - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.04)
    3.48
    (3.49)
    3.5
    (3.37)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3.
    • New Mexico is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Orange County SC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Orange County SC were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:3
    19.10.2024 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:0
    03.07.2024 New Mexico United - Orange County SC 2:0
    29.07.2023 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 1:0
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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