Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/506) | 80% (255/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (434/506) | 80% (255/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 26% (13/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (73/101) | 58% (42/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gloster C. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
- 46', Trager T. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Hurst G. ⚽,
- 64', Partida K. ↓, Brewitt T. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Pinto M. ⚽, Sylla O. (A),
- 90+1', Maples T. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Harris D. ⚽, Noel V. (A),
Chances of winning
New Mexico United
47.4% | Draw
26.2% | Orange County SC
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)The ML Model estimate for Orange County SC aligns with the current prediction.
New Mexico United - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.95) |
3.54 ↓
(3.71) |
3.51 ↑
(3.4) |
7.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for New Mexico United - Orange County SC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 2nd Half - New Mexico (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - New Mexico (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Half - New Mexico (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New Mexico United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
- New Mexico could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Orange County SC?
New Mexico United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against New Mexico United?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Orange County SC were as follows:
11.10.2025
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
3:3
17.05.2025
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:3
19.10.2024
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:0
03.07.2024
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
2:0
29.07.2023
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
1:0
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
