New Mexico United vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM).

USL Championship
Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	1.99
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
4	9
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	8
Passes
88% (473/536)	79% (212/267)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	1.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.53	3.05
Total shots
14	16
Shots on target
4	9
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
7	8
Touches in opposition box
26	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free Kicks
11	11
Passes
88% (473/536)	79% (212/267)
Long passes
56% (24/43)	35% (16/46)
Passes in final third
83% (114/138)	49% (33/67)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.56	1.31
Throw-ins
12	14
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
70% (7/10)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
31	30
Clearances
24	23
Interceptions
2	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
3.05	2.53
Goals prevented
0.05	-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Trager T. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽, Seymore W. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽, Harris D. (A),
39', 2 - 2, Trager T. ⚽, Kelly S. (A),
45+1', 2 - 3, Kelly S. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jabang O. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
46', Ryden K. ↓, Keller K. ↑,
51', 3 - 3, Keller K. ⚽, Maples T. (A),
56', Pinto M. 🟨,
62', Dunbar C. ↓, War M. ↑,
69', Akale M. 🟨,
69', Seymore W. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
74', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
79', Gloster C. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
79', Vargas M. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
85', Guimaraes P. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
85', Pinto M. ↓, Partida K. ↑,
86', Miles A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

New Mexico United
46.7%

Draw
26.7%

Orange County SC
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

New Mexico United - Orange County SC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	3.5 ↑ (3.37)	7.5% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3.
New Mexico is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Orange County SC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Orange County SC?

New Mexico United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against New Mexico United?

Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Orange County SC were as follows:

17.05.2025 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:3

19.10.2024 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:0

03.07.2024 New Mexico United - Orange County SC 2:0

29.07.2023 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 1:0

Latest results of New Mexico United

04.10.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 0:1 ✺

28.09.2025 New Mexico United - Lexington 2:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 New Mexico United - Tulsa 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Orange County SC

04.10.2025 Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive 0:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Orange County SC - Charleston Battery 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 San Antonio - Orange County SC 3:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Lexington - Orange County SC 1:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )