Orange County SC vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Orange County SC - New Mexico United
Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Matto J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.90
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
74% (250/336)82% (347/423)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.27
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2821
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2013
Passes
74% (250/336)82% (347/423)
Long passes
54% (38/71)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
47% (55/116)73% (82/113)
Crosses
29% (5/17)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.63
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1320
Tackles
50% (6/12)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5340
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.270.98
Goals prevented
-0.730.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 31', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 55', Dunbar C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
  • 55', Trager T. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
  • 55', Partida K. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
  • 59', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 64', Jamison B. 🟨,
  • 67', Zelalem G. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
  • 68', Amang T. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
  • 68', MacKinnon L. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
  • 75', Gloster C. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
  • 80', Santos K. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 83', Hegardt C. 🟨,
  • 88', Luiz Fernando ↓, Sais J. ↑,
  • 88', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
  • 90', Pondeca T. 🟨,
  • 90', Bruce D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zubak E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Brewitt T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
43.4%		Draw
27.7%		New Mexico United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.5% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 27.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Orange County SC - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.14 ↓
    (2.28)    		 3.35 ↑
    (3.25)    		 3.21 ↑
    (2.99)    		 7.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
    • Orange County SC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, New Mexico has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
    • Orange County SC could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - New Mexico United were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:0
    03.07.2024 New Mexico United - Orange County SC 2:0
    29.07.2023 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 1:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    09.05.2025 North Carolina - Orange County SC 1:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    19.04.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 2:0
    15.04.2025 AV Alta - Orange County SC 3:2
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    03.05.2025 El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United 3:0
    26.04.2025 New Mexico United - Union Omaha 2:0
    23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0
    16.04.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 2:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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