Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Matto J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (250/336) | 82% (347/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (250/336) | 82% (347/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (55/116) | 73% (82/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
- 31', Jabang O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Zelalem G. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 2, Maples T. (Pen),
- 55', Dunbar C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
- 55', Trager T. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
- 55', Partida K. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
- 59', Scott K. 🟨,
- 64', Jamison B. 🟨,
- 67', Zelalem G. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 68', Amang T. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
- 68', MacKinnon L. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
- 75', Gloster C. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
- 80', Santos K. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 83', Hegardt C. 🟨,
- 88', Luiz Fernando ↓, Sais J. ↑,
- 88', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
- 90', Pondeca T. 🟨,
- 90', Bruce D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zubak E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Brewitt T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
43.4% | Draw
27.7% | New Mexico United
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Orange County SC - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.28) |
3.35 ↑
(3.25) |
3.21 ↑
(2.99) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
- Orange County SC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, New Mexico has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
- Orange County SC could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against New Mexico United?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Orange County SC?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - New Mexico United were as follows:
19.10.2024
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:0
03.07.2024
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
2:0
29.07.2023
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
1:0
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
