Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Matto J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 2.90 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
74% (250/336) | 82% (347/423) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 2.90 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.98 | 2.27 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
74% (250/336) | 82% (347/423) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (38/71) | 45% (25/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
47% (55/116) | 73% (82/113) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 44% (4/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.93 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (6/12) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.27 | 0.98 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.73 | 0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
- 31', Jabang O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Zelalem G. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 2, Maples T. (Pen),
- 55', Dunbar C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
- 55', Trager T. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
- 55', Partida K. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
- 59', Scott K. 🟨,
- 64', Jamison B. 🟨,
- 67', Zelalem G. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 68', Amang T. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
- 68', MacKinnon L. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
- 75', Gloster C. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
- 79', 0 - 3, Luiz Fernando ⚽,
- 80', Santos K. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 83', Hegardt C. 🟨,
- 88', Luiz Fernando ↓, Sais J. ↑,
- 88', Akale M. ↓, Gaines M. ↑,
- 90', Pondeca T. 🟨,
- 90', Bruce D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zubak E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Brewitt T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC 43.4% | Draw 27.7% | New Mexico United 28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Orange County SC - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↓ (2.28) |
3.35 ↑ (3.25) |
3.21 ↑ (2.99) |
7.8% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
- Orange County SC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, New Mexico has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
- Orange County SC could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against New Mexico United?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Orange County SC?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - New Mexico United were as follows:
19.10.2024
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:0
03.07.2024
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
2:0
29.07.2023
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
1:0
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )