Result
3:3
11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (473/536) | 79% (212/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (473/536) | 79% (212/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 35% (16/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (114/138) | 49% (33/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 16', 0 - 1, Trager T. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽, Seymore W. (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Hurst G. ⚽, Harris D. (A),
- 39', 2 - 2, Trager T. ⚽, Kelly S. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 3, Kelly S. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jabang O. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
- 46', Ryden K. ↓, Keller K. ↑,
- 51', 3 - 3, Keller K. ⚽, Maples T. (A),
- 56', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 62', Dunbar C. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 69', Akale M. 🟨,
- 69', Seymore W. ↓, Lindsey J. ↑,
- 74', Trager T. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 79', Gloster C. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 79', Vargas M. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 85', Guimaraes P. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
- 85', Pinto M. ↓, Partida K. ↑,
- 86', Miles A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New Mexico United 46.7% | Draw 26.7% | Orange County SC 26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
New Mexico United - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.04) |
3.48 ↓ (3.49) |
3.5 ↑ (3.37) |
7.5% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3.
- New Mexico is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orange County SC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- New Mexico might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Orange County SC?
New Mexico United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against New Mexico United?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Mexico United - Orange County SC were as follows:
17.05.2025
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:3
19.10.2024
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:0
03.07.2024
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
2:0
29.07.2023
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
1:0
Latest results of New Mexico United
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
MainEastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )