Orange County SC vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Orange County SC - New Mexico United
Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Matto J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.90
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
74% (250/336)82% (347/423)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.27
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2821
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2013
Passes
74% (250/336)82% (347/423)
Long passes
54% (38/71)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
47% (55/116)73% (82/113)
Crosses
29% (5/17)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.63
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1320
Tackles
50% (6/12)88% (7/8)
Duels won
5340
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.270.98
Goals prevented
-0.730.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 31', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Maples T. (Pen),
  • 55', Dunbar C. , Jamison B. ,
  • 55', Trager T. , Zubak E. ,
  • 55', Partida K. , Hegardt C. ,
  • 59', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 64', Jamison B. 🟨,
  • 67', Zelalem G. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 68', Amang T. , Bruce D. ,
  • 68', MacKinnon L. , Barjolo B. ,
  • 75', Gloster C. , Seymore W. ,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Luiz Fernando ,
  • 80', Santos K. , War M. ,
  • 83', Hegardt C. 🟨,
  • 88', Luiz Fernando , Sais J. ,
  • 88', Akale M. , Gaines M. ,
  • 90', Pondeca T. 🟨,
  • 90', Bruce D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zubak E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Brewitt T. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
43.4%
Draw
27.7%
New Mexico United
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.5% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 27.4% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Orange County SC - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.28)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    3.21
    (2.99)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
    • Orange County SC has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, New Mexico has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.
    • Orange County SC could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - New Mexico United were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 0:0
    03.07.2024 New Mexico United - Orange County SC 2:0
    29.07.2023 Orange County SC - New Mexico United 1:0
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )