Result
0:1
04/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (381/441) | 80% (262/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (381/441) | 80% (262/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (91/124) | 63% (45/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Reid-Stephen N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Hegardt C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Gloster C. 🟨,
- 60', Howell M. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
- 62', MacKinnon L. 🟨,
- 64', Palomino M. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
- 64', Zubak E. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
- 73', Nava C. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
- 73', Archimede L. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
- 75', Jabang O. 🟨,
- 80', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
- 80', Wilkerson C. ↓, Astorga A. ↑,
- 80', Partida K. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 80', Espy T. ↓, Doody G. ↑,
- 84', Hegardt C. ↓, Tubbs G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
41.4% | Draw
28.4% | New Mexico United
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Orange County SC - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.31) |
3.25 ↑
(3.14) |
3.05 ↑
(3.01) |
8.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - New Mexico United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0.
- Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- New Mexico has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Orange County SC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against New Mexico United?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Orange County SC?
New Mexico United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - New Mexico United were as follows:
08.11.2025
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
2:1
11.10.2025
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
3:3
17.05.2025
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:3
19.10.2024
Orange County SC
-
New Mexico United
0:0
03.07.2024
New Mexico United
-
Orange County SC
2:0
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
