Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United
Result
4:3 penalties
31/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaAZFS, ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', Jabang O. 🟨,
  • 13', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Akale M. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Sacko I. (Pen),
  • 44', Margaritha J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Avayevu H. , Margaritha J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', Bailey Z. , Vargas M. ,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Luiz Fernando ,
  • 57', 2 - 3, Luiz Fernando ,
  • 58', Jabang O. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 58', Amang T. , Bruce D. ,
  • 58', Luiz Fernando , Gaines M. ,
  • 70', Flood R. , Traore M. ,
  • 70', 3 - 3, Scearce J. , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 74', Gloster C. , Seymore W. ,
  • 78', Johnson D. , Formella D. ,
  • 90', Avayevu H. , Dennis C. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
38.3%
Draw
28.4%
New Mexico United
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 28% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 28.4% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.91)
    3.21
    (3.26)
    2.74
    (2.25)
    9.6%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2.
    • Phoenix Rising is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • New Mexico has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.9:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 2.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United were as follows:
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    03.11.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 2:1
    09.10.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    30.03.2024 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 0:1
    07.10.2023 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 1:2
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of New Mexico United