Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.45
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
79% (286/363)80% (340/427)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.461.05
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
79% (286/363)80% (340/427)
Long passes
40% (24/60)40% (32/80)
Passes in final third
57% (42/74)59% (64/108)
Crosses
27% (4/15)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.33
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (6/10)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
1616
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.050.46
Goals prevented
0.050.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Dennis C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Vargas M. , Noel V. ,
  • 64', Cabral R. , Johnson D. ,
  • 69', Sainte C. F. 🟨,
  • 72', Sainte C. F. , Avayevu H. ,
  • 76', Harris D. , Archimede L. ,
  • 86', Czichos R. , Flood R. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+10', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
44.8%
Draw
27.6%
New Mexico United
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 30% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.6% 28.6%

Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.07
(2.27)
3.35
(3.08)
3.35
(3.16)
8.1%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.
    • In recent matches, Phoenix Rising has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • New Mexico is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of home games.
    • Phoenix Rising is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 2.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 4:3
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    03.11.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 2:1
    09.10.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    30.03.2024 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 0:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1FC TulsaColorado Springs1 : 0
    2El PasoPhoenix Rising0 : 1
    3New MexicoSan Antonio2 : 0
    4Sacramento RepublicOrange County SC0 : 1
    5PittsburghHartford Athletic1 : 0
    6Louisville CityDetroit0 : 1
    7North CarolinaLoudoun1 : 0
    8CharlestonRhode Island0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1FC TulsaPhoenix Rising1 : 0
    2New MexicoOrange County SC2 : 1
    3PittsburghDetroit1 : 0
    4North CarolinaRhode Island0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1FC TulsaNew Mexico
    2PittsburghRhode Island

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2