Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.45
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
79% (286/363)80% (340/427)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.461.05
Total shots
910
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
79% (286/363)80% (340/427)
Long passes
40% (24/60)40% (32/80)
Passes in final third
57% (42/74)59% (64/108)
Crosses
27% (4/15)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.33
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (6/10)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4240
Clearances
1616
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.050.46
Goals prevented
0.050.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Dennis C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Zelalem G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Vargas M. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
  • 64', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
  • 69', Sainte C. F. 🟨,
  • 72', Sainte C. F. ↓, Avayevu H. ↑,
  • 76', Harris D. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
  • 86', Czichos R. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
  • 90+10', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
44.8%		Draw
27.6%		New Mexico United
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 30% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.6% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.07 ↓
    (2.27)    		 3.35 ↑
    (3.08)    		 3.35 ↑
    (3.16)    		 8.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.
    • In recent matches, Phoenix Rising has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • New Mexico is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of home games.
    • Phoenix Rising is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 2.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 2.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 4:3
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    03.11.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 2:1
    09.10.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    30.03.2024 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 0:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    27.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots 3:3
    20.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United 2:2
    13.09.2025 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:2
    05.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:0
    30.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive 3:3
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    28.09.2025 New Mexico United - Lexington 2:1
    24.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United 1:2
    20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1
    13.09.2025 New Mexico United - Tulsa 0:1
    10.09.2025 New Mexico United - Detroit City 4:0
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy