Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
11/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.920.46
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
81
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
15
Passes
84% (299/357)85% (368/432)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.920.46
xG on target (xGOT)
3.580.04
Total shots
107
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
44
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
167
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free kicks
1818
Passes
84% (299/357)85% (368/432)
Long passes
48% (26/54)39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
59% (47/79)63% (41/65)
Crosses
17% (1/6)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.220.40
Throw ins
2415
Fouls
1818
Tackles
75% (6/8)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
814
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.043.58
Goals prevented
0.040.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Sacko I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 25', Howell M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', JP Scearce 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Moursou J. 🟨,
  • 61', Reid-Stephen N. , Harris D. ,
  • 61', Archimede L. , Rennicks J. ,
  • 62', Nava C. , Hurst G. ,
  • 65', Gloster C. 🟨,
  • 73', 🟥,
  • 74', Vukovic A. , Flores D. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, JP Scearce , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 76', Jabang O. , LaCava J. ,
  • 80', Noel V. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Sacko I. ,
  • 89', Avayevu H. , Capetillo A. ,
  • 89', Johnson D. , Mar Boye P. ,
  • 89', Gomez D. , Studenhofft G. ,
  • 90', Hurst G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
40.7%
Draw
26.4%
New Mexico United
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 28.1% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 27% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.24)
    3.52
    (3.26)
    2.82
    (2.98)
    7.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 1.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 0:1
    31.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United 4:3
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    03.11.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 2:1
    09.10.2024 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)