New York City vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.84
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
85% (415/491)86% (432/504)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.61
Total shots
149
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
619
Passes
85% (415/491)86% (432/504)
Long passes
46% (17/37)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
75% (105/140)72% (84/116)
Crosses
25% (7/28)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.66
Throw-ins
2011
Fouls
196
Tackles
64% (7/11)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.610.94
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', de La Vega P. , Rothrock P. ,
  • 45+2', O'Toole K. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Freese M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Roldan A. , Bell J. ,
  • 55', Joao Paulo , Brunell S. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Morris J. , Rusnak A. (A),
  • 61', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 62', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 62', Raul Gustavo , Shore J. ,
  • 64', Rusnak A. 🟨,
  • 77', Gray T. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 77', Perea A. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Mercau N. , Fernandez J. (A), Carrizo M. (A2)
  • 84', Morris J. , Musovski D. ,
  • 84', Ferreira J. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Ragen J. , Leyva D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
49.7%
Draw
25.3%
Seattle Sounders
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 25.2% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.1% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.
  • Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.09)
    3.78
    (3.7)
    3.79
    (3.07)
    4.7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New York City - Seattle Sounders?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Seattle is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • NY City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Gomez Andrade Y. (Hamstring Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury) Kim Kee-Hee (Calf Injury) Nouhou (International duty) Roldan C. (International duty)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)