New York City vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV, EA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.84
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
85% (415/491)86% (432/504)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.61
Total shots
149
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
619
Passes
85% (415/491)86% (432/504)
Long passes
46% (17/37)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
75% (105/140)72% (84/116)
Crosses
25% (7/28)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.66
Throw-ins
2011
Fouls
196
Tackles
64% (7/11)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.610.94
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', de La Vega P. , Rothrock P. ,
  • 45+2', O'Toole K. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Haak J. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Freese M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Roldan A. , Bell J. ,
  • 55', Joao Paulo , Brunell S. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Morris J. , Rusnak A. (A),
  • 61', Moralez M. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 62', Wolf H. , Ojeda A. ,
  • 62', Raul Gustavo , Shore J. ,
  • 64', Rusnak A. 🟨,
  • 77', Gray T. , Ilenic M. ,
  • 77', Perea A. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Mercau N. , Fernandez J. (A), Carrizo M. (A2)
  • 84', Morris J. , Musovski D. ,
  • 84', Ferreira J. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Ragen J. , Leyva D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
49.7%
Draw
25.3%
Seattle Sounders
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 25.2% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.1% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.
  • Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Sounders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Sounders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.09)
    3.78
    (3.7)
    3.79
    (3.07)
    4.7%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New York City - Seattle Sounders?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • NY City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Seattle is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • NY City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Gomez Andrade Y. (Hamstring Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury) Kim Kee-Hee (Calf Injury) Nouhou (International duty) Roldan C. (International duty)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)