Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
2:1 OT
16/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
swedenSwedenViaplay
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2429
Shots off target
1416
Shooting PCT
8.33% (2/24)3.45% (1/29)
Blocked Shots
1013
Goalkeeper Saves
2822
Saves PCT
96.55% (28/29)91.67% (22/24)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Hits
1822
Faceoffs Won
2728
Faceoffs %
49.0950.91
Giveaways
2113
Takeaways
26
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:20, Panarin A. (2 min),
  • 07:22, Joshua D. (2 min),
  • 10:00, Cuylle W. (2 min),
  • 11:48, 1 - 0, Knies M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
  • 15:43, Knies M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 13:58, Benoit S. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:51, 1 - 1, Parssinen J. (G), Schneider B. (A),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:58, 2 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Nylander W. (A), Rielly M. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
43.4%		Draw
22.2%		New York Rangers
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 22.4% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 22.6% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • New York Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↓
    (2.27)    		 4.34 ↑
    (4.23)    		 2.77 ↑
    (2.63)    		 4.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). NY Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York Rangers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • NY Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toronto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Lorentz S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Rangers: Soucy C. (Upper-Body Injury) Trocheck V. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Woll J. (Personal Reasons)
    • There are questionable in NY Rangers: Borgen W. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:60. (average 3.1:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 2.6:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers were as follows:
    20.03.2025 New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    28.02.2025 New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3
    19.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers 1:4
    02.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers 4:3
    19.12.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers 2:5
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    14.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Nashville Predators 7:4 ✺
    13.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Detroit Red Wings 2:3 ✺
    11.10.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:3 ✺
    08.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens 5:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:5
    Latest results of New York Rangers
    14.10.2025 New York Rangers - Edmonton Oilers 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 New York Rangers - Washington Capitals 0:1 ✺
    11.10.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers 1:6 ✺
    09.10.2025 Buffalo Sabres - New York Rangers 0:4 ✺
    07.10.2025 New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins 0:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5635399216:14085
    2Dallas Stars58296914197:16179
    3Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    4Vegas Golden Knights582171416197:18370
    5Anaheim Ducks571912323191:20065
    6Utah Mammoth58237424185:16164
    7Edmonton Oilers59217823203:20064
    8Seattle Kraken57216921163:16963
    9Los Angeles Kings571491420150:16760
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Winnipeg Jets57203826163:17754
    13Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks58126733151:21343


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning56299414203:14280
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
    10Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    11Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    12Toronto Maple Leafs58198922190:19863
    13Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    14Philadelphia Flyers571871121168:18361
    15New Jersey Devils581810228147:17758
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

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