New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
6:2
05/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2531
Shots off target
1214
Shooting PCT
24% (6/25)6.45% (2/31)
Blocked shots
229
Goalkeeper Saves
2919
Saves PCT
93.55% (29/31)79.17% (19/24)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)50% (1/2)
Hits
2226
Faceoffs Won
2630
Faceoffs %
46.4353.57
Giveaways
1210
Takeaways
43
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:13, 0 - 1, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A),
  • 00:38, Maccelli M. (2 min),
  • 06:45, 1 - 1, Cuylle W. (G), Schneider B. (A),
  • 15:34, Parssinen J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:27, 1 - 2, Cowan E. (G), Knies M. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
  • 06:06, Rielly M. (2 min),
  • 07:29, 2 - 2, Gavrikov V. (G), Raddysh T. (A), Brodzinski J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (4 - 0)
  • 05:38, 3 - 2, Lafreniere A. (G), Zibanejad M. (A),
  • 10:27, 4 - 2, Chmelar J. (G),
  • 11:19, 5 - 2, Zibanejad M. (G), Lafreniere A. (A), Fox A. (A2)
  • 17:09, 6 - 2, Cuylle W. (G), Lafreniere A. (A), Zibanejad M. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Rangers
42.7%		Draw
23%		Toronto Maple Leafs
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 23.1% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 22.7% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
    •

    New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.21 ↓
    (2.45)    		 4.12 ↓
    (4.21)    		 2.74 ↑
    (2.6)    		 6%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. NY Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 19% – 81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NY Rangers (votes: 1 - 25%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 1.
    • NY Rangers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toronto is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, NY Rangers has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Rangers: Edstrom A. (Lower-Body Injury) Miller J.T. (Upper-Body Injury) Rempe M. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 59:60. (average 3:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Rangers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 3.1:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    16.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers 2:1
    20.03.2025 New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    28.02.2025 New York Rangers - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3
    19.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers 1:4
    02.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Rangers 4:3
    Latest results of New York Rangers
    02.03.2026 New York Rangers - Columbus Blue Jackets 4:5 ✺
    28.02.2026 New York Rangers - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:2 ✺
    26.02.2026 New York Rangers - Philadelphia Flyers 2:3 ✺
    05.02.2026 New York Rangers - Carolina Hurricanes 0:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Rangers 6:5 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    04.03.2026 New Jersey Devils - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3 ✺
    02.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers 2:3 ✺
    28.02.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 2:5 ✺
    26.02.2026 Florida Panthers - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1 ✺
    25.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche66395913249:17097
    2Dallas Stars673391015235:18494
    3Minnesota Wild6925141218230:19990
    4Anaheim Ducks672215327223:23377
    5Edmonton Oilers69268926243:23577
    6Utah Mammoth68278627214:19176
    7Vegas Golden Knights682381423220:21176
    8Seattle Kraken67256927193:20571
    9Los Angeles Kings6718101524180:20171
    10San Jose Sharks662012628207:23470
    11Nashville Predators67228928199:22869
    12Winnipeg Jets672351128191:20667
    13St. Louis Blues672431030177:22264
    14Chicago Blackhawks671871230178:21762
    15Calgary Flames67224734167:21259
    16Vancouver Canucks67147838176:24850


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes683112619241:20292
    2Buffalo Sabres68357620237:20090
    3Tampa Bay Lightning66329421237:18486
    4Montreal Canadiens6725121020236:22284
    5Pittsburgh Penguins682951618235:21084
    6New York Islanders682514524200:19283
    7Detroit Red Wings682611823200:20382
    8Boston Bruins682710823224:21482
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6724111121217:20981
    10Ottawa Senators67286924226:20977
    11Washington Capitals69295827216:20476
    12Philadelphia Flyers6620111223191:20574
    13New Jersey Devils682312231186:20772
    14Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    15Florida Panthers67267331201:22569
    16New York Rangers68199832193:21564

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