Result
3:4 OT
20/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | TVP Sport |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.54% (3/26) | 11.11% (3/36) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.89% (33/36) | 88.46% (23/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.92 | 48.08 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 03:07, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
- 11:48, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), Groulx B. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
- 14:16, Robertson N. (2 min),
- 14:39, Nikishin A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:57, Carlo B. (2 min),
- 05:57, 1 - 1, Staal J. (G), Jarvis S. (A), Aho S. (A2)
- 12:35, 1 - 2, Robinson E. (Penalty Shot),
- 13:47, 2 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Jarnkrok C. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
- 16:14, Walker S. (2 min),
- 17:40, 2 - 3, Miller K. (G),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:10, Cowan E. (2 min),
- 13:50, 3 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Maccelli M. (A),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:41, 3 - 4, Nikishin A. (G), Jarvis S. (A), Aho S. (A2)
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
24.9% | Draw
21.1% | Carolina Hurricanes
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carolina Hurricanes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carolina Hurricanes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↑
(3.05) |
4.45 ↑
(4.37) |
1.75 ↓
(2.11) |
6.1%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Carolina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Carolina is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
- There will not play in Carolina: Kochetkov P.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Carolina: Gostisbehere S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 74:66. (average 3.7:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 48:40. (average 4.4:3.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Carolina Hurricanes?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Hurricanes won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Carolina Hurricanes has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes were as follows:
04.12.2025
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:5
09.11.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Carolina Hurricanes
4:5
13.04.2025
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:4
22.02.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Carolina Hurricanes
6:3
09.01.2025
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:3
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Carolina Hurricanes
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
