New York Red Bulls vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, NJ).

MLS
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.80	2.05
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
6	6
Big chances
2	6
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
85% (435/512)	82% (385/470)
Yellow cards
2	2
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.80	2.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	1.73
Total shots
18	17
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
9	15
Shots outside the box
9	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	6
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
38	34
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	5
Free kicks
11	12
Passes
85% (435/512)	82% (385/470)
Long passes
54% (21/39)	44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
78% (158/202)	70% (81/115)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.04	1.48
Throw ins
11	20
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
56% (10/18)	71% (15/21)
Duels won
44	51
Clearances
17	23
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.73	1.57
Goals prevented
-0.27	-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Hall J. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Bucha P. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
37', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Forsberg E. ⚽,
58', Donkor R. 🟨,
65', 3 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
67', Gidi S. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
70', Cowell C. ↓, Rosborough T. ↑,
70', Dos Santos M. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Smith K. ⚽,
75', Barlow T. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
75', Smith K. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
75', Hagglund N. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
80', Mehmeti A. ↓, Benedetti N. ↑,
80', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
80', Miazga M. 🟨,
83', Valencia O. 🟨,
84', Miazga M. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
86', Forsberg E. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Sofo M. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
90+5', Powell A. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls
49.2%

Draw
24.3%

Cincinnati
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2)	3.9 ↑ (3.7)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	5.3% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
NY Red Bulls is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Cincinnati?

New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York Red Bulls?

Cincinnati has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati were as follows:

04.10.2025 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 0:1

22.02.2025 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:0

20.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 3:1

06.04.2024 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:2

04.11.2023 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 1:2

Latest results of New York Red Bulls

21.03.2026 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 6:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺

08.03.2026 New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal 0:3 ✺

28.02.2026 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 1:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

22.03.2026 Cincinnati - CF Montréal 4:3 ✺

19.03.2026 Tigres UANL - Cincinnati 5:1 ✺

15.03.2026 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 6:1 ✺

12.03.2026 Cincinnati - Tigres UANL 3:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Cincinnati - Toronto FC 0:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	7	6	0	1	19:4	15	18
2	San Jose Earthquakes	7	6	0	1	13:2	11	18
3	Los Angeles FC	7	5	1	1	15:2	13	16
4	Real Salt Lake	6	4	1	1	12:8	4	13
5	Seattle Sounders	6	4	1	1	6:2	4	13
6	Colorado Rapids	7	4	0	3	19:12	7	12
7	FC Dallas	7	3	3	1	15:10	5	12
8	San Diego FC	7	3	2	2	14:10	4	11
9	Minnesota United	7	3	2	2	8:13	-5	11
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	7	2	2	3	10:11	-1	8
11	Portland Timbers	7	2	1	4	11:16	-5	7
12	Houston Dynamo	6	2	0	4	10:16	-6	6
13	Austin FC	7	1	3	3	8:11	-3	6
14	St. Louis City	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6
15	Sporting Kansas City	7	1	1	5	7:17	-10	4

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Nashville SC	7	5	1	1	15:4	11	16
2	Chicago Fire	7	4	1	2	9:5	4	13
3	Inter Miami	7	3	3	1	13:12	1	12
4	New York City	7	3	2	2	14:9	5	11
5	Charlotte	7	3	2	2	13:9	4	11
6	Toronto FC	7	3	2	2	10:11	-1	11
7	New York Red Bulls	7	3	2	2	11:15	-4	11
8	New England Revolution	6	3	0	3	12:9	3	9
9	DC United	7	2	1	4	4:9	-5	7
10	FC Cincinnati	7	2	1	4	10:16	-6	7
11	Columbus Crew	7	1	3	3	9:10	-1	6
12	Atlanta Utd	7	1	1	5	6:12	-6	4
13	Orlando City	7	1	1	5	6:24	-18	4
14	Philadelphia Union	7	1	0	6	6:12	-6	3
15	CF Montreal	7	1	0	6	8:19	-11	3

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)