New York Red Bulls vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ).

MLS
Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.09
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
12	1
Passes
87% (551/632)	78% (286/365)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	0.21
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
12	1
Touches in opposition box
42	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
4	9
Passes
87% (551/632)	78% (286/365)
Long passes
47% (16/34)	33% (20/60)
Passes in final third
76% (173/228)	56% (29/52)
Crosses
19% (7/37)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.30	0.63
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
9	4
Tackles
75% (9/12)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
34	41
Clearances
8	48
Interceptions
13	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.21	0.23
Goals prevented
-0.79	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Brenner (A),
32', Denkey K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Gjengaar D. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
58', Sofo M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
58', Donkor R. 🟨,
67', Brenner ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
67', Nealis D. ↓, Duncan K. ↑,
67', Berggren G. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
81', Denkey K. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
81', Morales M. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
81', Echenique E. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
86', Orellano L. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
86', Evander ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
90+2', Parker T. 🟨,
90+4', Hack A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls
38%

Draw
25.2%

Cincinnati
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.8%

31.9%

New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.29)	3.75 ↑ (3.73)	2.61 ↓ (2.75)	5% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Cincinnati (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
NY Red Bulls is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W. (Ankle Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Marcucci A. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Cincinnati: Celentano R. (Leg Injury) Miazga M. (Leg Injury) Smith B. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Cincinnati?

New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York Red Bulls?

Cincinnati has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati were as follows:

22.02.2025 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:0

20.07.2024 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 3:1

06.04.2024 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 1:2

04.11.2023 New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati 1:2

29.10.2023 Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls 3:0

Latest results of New York Red Bulls

27.09.2025 New York Red Bulls - New York City 2:3 ✺

20.09.2025 CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Portland Timbers - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

28.09.2025 Cincinnati - Orlando City 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati 2:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Cincinnati - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union 0:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1 ✺

MLS Table

2026

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Dallas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Houston Dynamo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Real Salt Lake	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	San Jose Earthquakes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Colorado Rapids	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Sporting Kansas City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Seattle Sounders	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Portland Timbers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Vancouver Whitecaps	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Minnesota United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Los Angeles FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Austin FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Louis City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New England Revolution	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	DC United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Toronto FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	New York Red Bulls	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Columbus Crew	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chicago Fire	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	CF Montreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Philadelphia Union	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Orlando City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	New York City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atlanta Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Nashville SC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Inter Miami	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Charlotte	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)