Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (551/632) | 78% (286/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (551/632) | 78% (286/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 33% (20/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (173/228) | 56% (29/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Brenner (A),
- 32', Denkey K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Gjengaar D. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
- 58', Sofo M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
- 58', Donkor R. 🟨,
- 67', Brenner ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 67', Nealis D. ↓, Duncan K. ↑,
- 67', Berggren G. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
- 81', Denkey K. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 81', Morales M. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
- 81', Echenique E. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
- 86', Orellano L. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
- 86', Evander ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
- 90+2', Parker T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hack A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New York Red Bulls
38% | Draw
25.2% | Cincinnati
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.29) |
3.75 ↑
(3.73) |
2.61 ↓
(2.75) |
5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
- NY Red Bulls is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Bogacz W.
(Ankle Injury)
Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Celentano R.
(Leg Injury)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
Smith B.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Cincinnati?
New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against New York Red Bulls?
Cincinnati has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Cincinnati were as follows:
22.02.2025
Cincinnati
-
New York Red Bulls
1:0
20.07.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Cincinnati
3:1
06.04.2024
Cincinnati
-
New York Red Bulls
1:2
04.11.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
Cincinnati
1:2
29.10.2023
Cincinnati
-
New York Red Bulls
3:0
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
Latest results of Cincinnati
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
