New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ).

MLS
Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	2.99
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
80% (293/365)	88% (563/638)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	2.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	4.80
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
21	32
Accurate through passes
1	3
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
8	15
Passes
80% (293/365)	88% (563/638)
Long passes
51% (23/45)	73% (54/74)
Passes in final third
76% (111/147)	82% (106/129)
Crosses
57% (4/7)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	1.53
Throw-ins
14	16
Fouls
15	8
Tackles
59% (10/17)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
41	46
Clearances
19	14
Interceptions
19	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
4.80	1.11
Goals prevented
-0.20	0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', Segovia T. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Hack A. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Alba J. ⚽, Messi L. (A), Suarez L. (A2)
27', 1 - 2, Segovia T. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
29', Falcon M. 🟨,
34', Donkor R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 3, Segovia T. ⚽,
45+6', Weigandt M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Edwards R. 🟨,
56', Donkor R. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
56', Hall J. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
60', 1 - 4, Messi L. ⚽, Busquets S. (A), Alba J. (A2)
65', Allende T. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
74', Sofo M. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
74', Segovia T. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
75', Lujan G. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
75', 1 - 5, Messi L. ⚽, Suarez L. (A), Cremaschi B. (A2)
84', Edelman D. ↓, Stroud P. ↑,
85', Busquets S. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
85', Alba J. ↓, Morales S. ↑,
90+3', Edwards R. ↓, Nealis D. ↑,

Chances of winning

New York Red Bulls
39.6%

Draw
25.7%

Inter Miami
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.6%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls's performance.

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (3.68)	3.71 ↑ (3.42)	2.72 ↑ (2.03)	5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 48.7% – 87.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Obando A. (Muscle Injury) Ustari O. (Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Inter Miami?

New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against New York Red Bulls?

Inter Miami has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami were as follows:

03.05.2025 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 4:1

04.05.2024 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 6:2

23.03.2024 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 4:0

26.08.2023 New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami 0:2

31.05.2023 Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls 0:1

Latest results of New York Red Bulls

16.07.2025 New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution 5:3 ✺

12.07.2025 Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls 1:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Austin FC - New York Red Bulls 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Inter Miami

16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Inter Miami - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺

09.07.2025 New England Revolution - Inter Miami 1:2 ✺

05.07.2025 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:4 ✺

29.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami 4:0 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC ✔	32	17	6	9	56:39	17	57
2	Vancouver Whitecaps ✔	31	16	9	6	59:34	25	57
3	Minnesota United ✔	32	15	10	7	52:37	15	55
4	Los Angeles FC ✔	30	15	8	7	60:37	23	53
5	Seattle Sounders	31	12	10	9	54:47	7	46
6	Austin FC	31	12	8	11	34:40	-6	44
7	Portland Timbers	32	11	11	10	41:43	-2	44
8	Colorado Rapids	32	11	7	14	42:53	-11	40
9	San Jose Earthquakes	32	10	8	14	57:58	-1	38
10	FC Dallas	31	9	11	11	47:51	-4	38
11	Real Salt Lake	31	11	4	16	35:46	-11	37
12	Houston Dynamo	32	9	9	14	41:52	-11	36
13	St. Louis City	32	7	7	18	39:55	-16	28
14	Sporting Kansas City	32	7	6	19	46:67	-21	27
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	31	5	9	17	41:62	-21	24

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union ✔	32	19	6	7	56:33	23	63
2	FC Cincinnati ✔	31	18	4	9	47:39	8	58
3	New York City ✔	32	17	5	10	49:41	8	56
4	Inter Miami ✔	30	16	8	6	65:47	18	56
5	Charlotte ✔	32	17	2	13	52:46	6	53
6	Nashville SC	32	16	5	11	55:39	16	53
7	Orlando City	30	14	9	7	58:43	15	51
8	Columbus Crew	32	13	11	8	51:49	2	50
9	Chicago Fire	31	14	6	11	59:53	6	48
10	New York Red Bulls	32	12	7	13	47:43	4	43
11	New England Revolution	32	9	8	15	41:45	-4	35
12	Toronto FC	31	5	13	13	31:38	-7	28
13	CF Montreal	32	6	9	17	33:56	-23	27
14	Atlanta Utd	31	5	12	14	37:57	-20	27
15	DC United	32	5	10	17	29:64	-35	25

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)