Result
1:5
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/365) | 88% (563/638) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 4.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/365) | 88% (563/638) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 73% (54/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (111/147) | 82% (106/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.80 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', Segovia T. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Hack A. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Alba J. ⚽, Messi L. (A), Suarez L. (A2)
- 27', 1 - 2, Segovia T. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
- 29', Falcon M. 🟨,
- 34', Donkor R. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 3, Segovia T. ⚽,
- 45+6', Weigandt M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Edwards R. 🟨,
- 56', Donkor R. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
- 56', Hall J. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 4, Messi L. ⚽, Busquets S. (A), Alba J. (A2)
- 65', Allende T. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
- 74', Sofo M. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
- 74', Segovia T. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
- 75', Lujan G. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 5, Messi L. ⚽, Suarez L. (A), Cremaschi B. (A2)
- 84', Edelman D. ↓, Stroud P. ↑,
- 85', Busquets S. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
- 85', Alba J. ↓, Morales S. ↑,
- 90+3', Edwards R. ↓, Nealis D. ↑,
Chances of winning
New York Red Bulls
39.6% | Draw
25.7% | Inter Miami
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls's performance.Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(3.68) |
3.71 ↑
(3.42) |
2.72 ↑
(2.03) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 48.7% – 87.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 3 - 60%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D.
(Groin Injury)
Fray I.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M.
(Thigh Injury)
Ngoma S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Obando A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ustari O.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Inter Miami?
New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against New York Red Bulls?
Inter Miami has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami were as follows:
03.05.2025
Inter Miami
-
New York Red Bulls
4:1
04.05.2024
Inter Miami
-
New York Red Bulls
6:2
23.03.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Inter Miami
4:0
26.08.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
Inter Miami
0:2
31.05.2023
Inter Miami
-
New York Red Bulls
0:1
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
Latest results of Inter Miami
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 47 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | New York City | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20:45 | -25 | 15 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
