Result
2:3
08/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 16
- Referee: Barreiro J. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Thailand | SPOTV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (433/505) | 81% (321/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (433/505) | 81% (321/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 43% (15/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (96/127) | 72% (76/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Goodwin C. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 2, Taylor C. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
- 53', 1 - 2, Muniz J. ⚽, Jovanovic L. (A),
- 57', Dukuly Y. 🟨,
- 59', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
- 63', Muniz J. ↓, Alagich E. ↑,
- 63', Jovanovic L. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Dukuly Y. ⚽, Alagich E. (A),
- 66', Dobson W. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 3, Taylor C. ⚽,
- 75', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 75', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 75', Adams E. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
- 79', Vriends B. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
- 79', Burkitt B. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
30.8% | Draw
22.5% | Newcastle Jets
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Jets's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.22) |
4.21 ↑
(3.88) |
2.03 ↓
(2.66) |
5.3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Adelaide (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Adelaide (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle Jets will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Newcastle (votes: 13 - 81.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.
- In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Newcastle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Alagich E.
(Inactive)
Anselmo
(Hip Injury)
Duzel L.
(Knock)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Clough Z.
(Groin Injury)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
Grozos K.
(Calf Injury)
James N.
(Inactive)
Nkomo R.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Adelaide: Barnett J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Newcastle Jets?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Adelaide United?
Newcastle Jets has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
30.07.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
2:1
15.02.2025
Adelaide United
-
Newcastle Jets
1:2
07.12.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
0:1
15.03.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
0:1
22.12.2023
Adelaide United
-
Newcastle Jets
3:1
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
