Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 24
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustralia10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
thailandThailandSPOTV 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.001.87
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
65
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
65
Passes
83% (430/517)81% (341/419)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
2.001.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.081.40
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
910
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
03
Free kicks
914
Passes
83% (430/517)81% (341/419)
Long passes
47% (17/36)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
73% (135/184)59% (61/103)
Crosses
20% (3/15)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.70
Throw ins
1718
Fouls
149
Tackles
50% (11/22)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5759
Clearances
1729
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
46
xGOT faced
1.401.08
Goals prevented
0.400.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Dobson W. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', White R. 🟨,
  • 53', Gibson B. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
  • 63', Jovanovic L. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
  • 63', Dukuly Y. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
  • 68', Bertoncello X. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
  • 68', Taylor C. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
  • 73', 0 - 1, White R. ⚽, Anselmo (A),
  • 90+1', Natta M. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
  • 90+2', Alagich E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Wilmering D. ⚽,
  • 90+6', Yull J. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
  • 90+7', Grozos K. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Kitto R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
44%		Draw
23.3%		Adelaide United
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 22.8% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 23.5% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.
  • Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.16 ↑
    (1.75)    		 4.07 ↑
    (4.05)    		 2.91 ↓
    (3.8)    		 5.4%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Adelaide will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 38.6% – 83.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Baylis J. (Inactive) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Goodwin C. (Groin Injury) Najdovski J. (Knee Injury) Pierias D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Aquilina T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United were as follows:
    08.02.2026 Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets 2:3
    30.07.2025 Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United 2:1
    15.02.2025 Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets 1:2
    07.12.2024 Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United 0:1
    15.03.2024 Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United 0:1
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    02.04.2026 Macarthur FC - Newcastle Jets 3:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 Sydney - Newcastle Jets 1:2 ✺
    14.03.2026 Newcastle Jets - Auckland FC 1:2 ✺
    07.03.2026 Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Newcastle Jets 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    03.04.2026 Adelaide United - Auckland FC 1:1 ✺
    20.03.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United 2:4 ✺
    14.03.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 1:1 ✺
    06.03.2026 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 1:1 ✺
    27.02.2026 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 1:1 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets ✔ 24142849:371244
    2Auckland FC24118540:261441
    3Sydney FC24114931:23837
    4Adelaide United24107741:34737
    5Melbourne Victory24106840:31936
    6Melbourne City2498729:29035
    7Macarthur FC2487932:41-931
    8Wellington Phoenix24861034:43-930
    9Central Coast Mariners2478934:38-429
    10Perth Glory24761130:38-827
    11Brisbane Roar24681024:31-726
    12WS Wanderers24561326:39-1321

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
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