Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
2:3
08/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 16
  • Referee: Barreiro J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
thailandThailandSPOTV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.271.60
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
410
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
34
Passes
86% (433/505)81% (321/394)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.271.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.472.64
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
41
Free kicks
811
Passes
86% (433/505)81% (321/394)
Long passes
45% (24/53)43% (15/35)
Passes in final third
76% (96/127)72% (76/105)
Crosses
19% (3/16)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.54
Throw ins
1918
Fouls
118
Tackles
72% (13/18)30% (3/10)
Duels won
4042
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
72
xGOT faced
2.641.47
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Goodwin C. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Taylor C. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
  • 53', 1 - 2, Muniz J. ⚽, Jovanovic L. (A),
  • 57', Dukuly Y. 🟨,
  • 59', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
  • 63', Muniz J. ↓, Alagich E. ↑,
  • 63', Jovanovic L. ↓, Duzel L. ↑,
  • 64', 2 - 2, Dukuly Y. ⚽, Alagich E. (A),
  • 66', Dobson W. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Taylor C. ⚽,
  • 75', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
  • 75', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
  • 75', Adams E. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
  • 79', Vriends B. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
  • 79', Burkitt B. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adelaide United
30.8%		Draw
22.5%		Newcastle Jets
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 23.8% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 23.6% 35%

Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.09 ↑
(2.22)		 4.21 ↑
(3.88)		 2.03 ↓
(2.66)		 5.3%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 58.6% – 97%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Adelaide (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Adelaide (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle Jets will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Newcastle (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 3.
    • In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Newcastle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Alagich E. (Inactive) Anselmo (Hip Injury) Duzel L. (Knock) Pierias D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Badolato A. (Knee Injury) Bracco C. (Knee Injury) Clough Z. (Groin Injury) Fryer O. (Knee Injury) Grozos K. (Calf Injury) James N. (Inactive) Nkomo R. (Inactive) Van Dorssen B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Adelaide: Barnett J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United 2:1
    15.02.2025 Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets 1:2
    07.12.2024 Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United 0:1
    15.03.2024 Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United 0:1
    22.12.2023 Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets 3:1
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    30.01.2026 Adelaide United - Macarthur FC 1:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United 2:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 2:2 ✺
    04.01.2026 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    31.01.2026 Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar 4:1 ✺
    23.01.2026 Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix 4:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets 1:2 ✺
    11.01.2026 Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets 0:1 ✺
    31.12.2025 Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets 1:3 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets16100637:28930
    2Auckland FC1684423:17628
    3Sydney FC1581622:15725
    4Macarthur FC1767424:23125
    5Melbourne Victory1672723:21223
    6Adelaide United1672726:26023
    7Melbourne City1757519:21-222
    8Brisbane Roar1763817:22-521
    9Perth Glory1662820:22-220
    10Central Coast Mariners1654721:24-319
    11Wellington Phoenix1654726:31-519
    12WS Wanderers1644813:21-816

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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