Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels
Result
6:28
16/05/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL

Match Stats

Tries
15
Conversion Goals
13
Conversion Goal Attempts
15
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
01
Goals %
10067
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
172194
Metres Run With Ball
16451915

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 10)
  • 11', Moses M. (Try),
  • 12', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 15', Lomax Z. (Try),
  • 16', Lomax Z. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 18)
  • 55', Lomax Z. (Try),
  • 57', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Lomax Z. (Penalty Goal),
  • 64', Brown D. (Try),
  • 66', Lomax Z. (Conversion Goal),
  • 67', Samrani J. (Try),
  • 68', Lomax Z. (Missed Conversion),
  • 75', Schiller J. (Try),
  • 76', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
47.4%
Draw
4.4%
Parramatta Eels
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 4.3% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 4.2% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Knights's form might have worsened.
  • Parramatta Eels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parramatta Eels's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.67)
    20.77
    (21.5)
    1.94
    (2.32)
    7.5%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Parramatta will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Newcastle has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Parramatta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 379:406. (average 19:20.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 258:291. (average 19.8:22.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels 18:44
    29.06.2024 Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels 34:26
    17.02.2023 Newcastle Knights - Parramatta Eels 14:36
    Latest results of Parramatta Eels
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters221111577:50528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    14NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    15Parramatta Eels22814410:54620
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )