Result
42:38
03/05/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 9
- Referee: Kennedy L. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 88 | 71 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 156 | 160 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1452 | 1402 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (28 - 10)
- 6', Mooney T. (Try),
- 7', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Lucas D. (Try),
- 12', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 23', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 26', Ponga K. (Missed Conversion),
- 27', Keppie S. (Try),
- 28', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Lucas D. (Try),
- 31', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Johnston A. (Try),
- 33', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (14 - 28)
- 43', Walker C. (Try),
- 45', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Ponga K. (Penalty Goal),
- 55', Duncan T. (Try),
- 56', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Johnston A. (Try),
- 63', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 64', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Walker C. (Try),
- 67', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Mitchell L. (Try),
- 73', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Mooney T. (Try),
- 76', Ponga K. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Newcastle Knights
43.1% | Draw
4.5% | South Sydney Rabbitohs
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Knights's performance.South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Sydney Rabbitohs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Knights that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Sydney Rabbitohs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newcastle Knights - South Sydney Rabbitohs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.77) |
19.98 ↓
(24.95) |
1.75 ↑
(1.48) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
- Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- South Sydney is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, South Sydney has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 301:491. (average 17.7:28.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 111:162. (average 18.5:27).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Knights won against South Sydney Rabbitohs?
Newcastle Knights has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Sydney Rabbitohs won against Newcastle Knights?
South Sydney Rabbitohs has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - South Sydney Rabbitohs were as follows:
03.05.2025
South Sydney Rabbitohs
-
Newcastle Knights
4:30
24.08.2024
South Sydney Rabbitohs
-
Newcastle Knights
16:36
20.08.2023
Newcastle Knights
-
South Sydney Rabbitohs
29:10
Latest results of Newcastle Knights
Latest results of South Sydney Rabbitohs
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 291:122 | 16 |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | 9 | 7 | 2 | 278:170 | 14 |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | 8 | 6 | 2 | 253:202 | 14 |
| 4 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8 | 5 | 3 | 260:192 | 12 |
| 5 | Wests Tigers | 8 | 5 | 3 | 219:179 | 12 |
| 6 | NQ Cowboys | 9 | 6 | 3 | 239:227 | 12 |
| 7 | Manly Sea Eagles | 8 | 4 | 4 | 227:176 | 10 |
| 8 | Cronulla Sharks | 8 | 4 | 4 | 244:208 | 10 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 9 | 4 | 5 | 228:207 | 10 |
| 10 | Brisbane Broncos | 9 | 5 | 4 | 210:209 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle Knights | 9 | 5 | 4 | 232:262 | 10 |
| 12 | Canberra Raiders | 9 | 4 | 5 | 183:249 | 8 |
| 13 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 9 | 3 | 6 | 157:238 | 8 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 8 | 2 | 6 | 158:204 | 6 |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 9 | 3 | 6 | 194:315 | 6 |
| 16 | Melbourne Storm | 9 | 2 | 7 | 198:260 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 8 | 0 | 8 | 114:265 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
