Burnley vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 6
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
japanJapanU-NEXT
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Premier League 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Tennis
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+ CINE, K+, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.362.46
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
39
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Long passes
32% (17/53)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)71% (65/91)
Crosses
8% (1/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.81
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
93
Tackles
65% (13/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.460.36
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Joelinton ⚽,
  • 7', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽,
  • 15', Esteve M. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Laurent J. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
  • 28', Walker K. 🟨,
  • 28', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 32', Florentino 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', Barnes H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
  • 74', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 80', Wissa Y. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
  • 80', Gordon A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 88', Florentino ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 88', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽,
  • 90+4', Joelinton ↓, Willock J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bddj2pb7

Chances of winning


Burnley
16.7%		Draw
22.5%		Newcastle United
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 24% 58.1%

Burnley - Newcastle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 5.73 ↑
(5.15)		 4.27 ↑
(3.87)		 1.58 ↓
(1.65)		 4.1%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Newcastle United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Newcastle (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Burnley (5.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Burnley (5.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Newcastle (votes: 26 - 86.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
    • Recent form of Burnley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Lower Back Injury) Burn D. (Chest Injury) Elanga A. (Knock) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J. (Injury) Esteve M. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Newcastle United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1
    04.05.2024 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:4
    30.09.2023 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    27.12.2025 Burnley - Everton 0:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Burnley - Fulham 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Sunderland - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    10.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal25175349:173256
    2Manchester City25155551:242750
    3Aston Villa25145636:27947
    4Manchester Utd26129547:371045
    5Chelsea26128647:301744
    6Liverpool25116840:35539
    7Brentford251231039:34539
    8Everton26107929:30-137
    9Bournemouth26910743:45-237
    10Newcastle261061037:37036
    11Sunderland2599727:29-236
    12Fulham251041135:37-234
    13Crystal Palace2588926:29-332
    14Brighton25710834:33131
    15Leeds26791036:45-930
    16Tottenham26781136:37-129
    17Nottingham25751325:38-1326
    18West Ham26661432:49-1724
    19Burnley25361625:49-2415
    20Wolves25151916:48-328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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