Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 5 |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 6 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Malaysia | Astro Premier League 4 |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 7 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 4 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Tennis |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+ CINE, K+, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (348/441) | 83% (380/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (348/441) | 83% (380/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (84/118) | 71% (65/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Joelinton ⚽,
- 7', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽,
- 15', Esteve M. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
- 23', 1 - 2, Laurent J. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
- 28', Walker K. 🟨,
- 28', Joelinton 🟨,
- 32', Florentino 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 72', Barnes H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
- 74', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
- 80', Wissa Y. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
- 80', Gordon A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
- 88', Florentino ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
- 88', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽,
- 90+4', Joelinton ↓, Willock J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bddj2pb7
Chances of winning
Burnley 16.7% | Draw 22.5% | Newcastle United 60.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Burnley - Newcastle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.73 ↑ (5.15) |
4.27 ↑ (3.87) |
1.58 ↓ (1.65) |
4.1% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Newcastle United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Newcastle (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Burnley (5.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Burnley (5.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Newcastle United will win
(48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Newcastle (votes: 14 - 77.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
- Recent form of Burnley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Foster L.
(International duty)
Mejbri H.
(Suspended)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
Tuanzebe A.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S.
(Lower Back Injury)
Burn D.
(Chest Injury)
Elanga A.
(Knock)
Krafth E.
(Knee Injury)
Lascelles J.
(Muscle Injury)
Livramento V.
(Knee Injury)
Osula W.
(Ankle Injury)
Trippier K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J.
(Injury)
Esteve M.
(Knock)
Worrall J.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Newcastle United?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Burnley?
Newcastle United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Newcastle United were as follows:
06.12.2025
Newcastle United
-
Burnley
2:1
04.05.2024
Burnley
-
Newcastle United
1:4
30.09.2023
Newcastle United
-
Burnley
2:0
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Newcastle United
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 40:14 | 26 | 50 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Manchester Utd | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 35 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Brentford | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Fulham | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 32:29 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 35:41 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 | Leeds | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 30:37 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | West Ham | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 19 | Burnley | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:42 | -19 | 14 |
| 20 | Wolves | 22 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship