Burnley vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
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brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 6
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
japanJapanU-NEXT
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Premier League 4
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
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sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
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spainSpainDAZN 4 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+ CINE, K+, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.362.46
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
39
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Long passes
32% (17/53)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)71% (65/91)
Crosses
8% (1/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.81
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
93
Tackles
65% (13/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.460.36
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Joelinton ⚽,
  • 7', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽,
  • 15', Esteve M. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Laurent J. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
  • 28', Walker K. 🟨,
  • 28', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 32', Florentino 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', Barnes H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
  • 74', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 80', Wissa Y. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
  • 80', Gordon A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 88', Florentino ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 88', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽,
  • 90+4', Joelinton ↓, Willock J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bddj2pb7

Chances of winning


Burnley
16.7%		Draw
22.5%		Newcastle United
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 24% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Burnley - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.73 ↑
    (5.15)    		 4.27 ↑
    (3.87)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.65)    		 4.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Newcastle United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Newcastle (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Burnley (5.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Burnley (5.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Newcastle (votes: 26 - 86.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
    • Recent form of Burnley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Lower Back Injury) Burn D. (Chest Injury) Elanga A. (Knock) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J. (Injury) Esteve M. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Newcastle United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1
    04.05.2024 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:4
    30.09.2023 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    27.12.2025 Burnley - Everton 0:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Burnley - Fulham 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Sunderland - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    10.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal31217361:223970
    2Manchester City30187560:283261
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa31166942:37554
    5Liverpool311471050:42849
    6Chelsea31139953:381548
    7Brentford311371146:42446
    8Everton311371137:35246
    9Fulham311351343:44-144
    10Brighton3111101041:37443
    11Sunderland3111101032:36-443
    12Newcastle311261344:45-142
    13Bournemouth31915746:48-242
    14Crystal Palace301091133:35-239
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham31881531:43-1232
    17Tottenham31791540:50-1030
    18West Ham31781636:57-2129
    19Burnley31481933:61-2820
    20Wolves31382024:54-3017

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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