Burnley vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
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indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
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irelandIrelandNOW
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italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
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usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+ CINE, K+, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.362.46
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
39
Passes
79% (348/441)83% (380/456)
Long passes
32% (17/53)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
71% (84/118)71% (65/91)
Crosses
8% (1/12)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.81
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
93
Tackles
65% (13/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4954
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.460.36
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Joelinton ⚽,
  • 7', 0 - 2, Wissa Y. ⚽,
  • 15', Esteve M. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Laurent J. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
  • 28', Walker K. 🟨,
  • 28', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 32', Florentino 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', Barnes H. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
  • 74', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 80', Wissa Y. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
  • 80', Gordon A. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 88', Florentino ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 88', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽,
  • 90+4', Joelinton ↓, Willock J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bddj2pb7

Chances of winning


Burnley
16.7%		Draw
22.5%		Newcastle United
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 24.4% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 24% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
    •

    Burnley - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.73 ↑
    (5.15)    		 4.27 ↑
    (3.87)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.65)    		 4.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Newcastle United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Newcastle (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Burnley (5.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Burnley (5.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (48 of 57 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.74% – 93.68%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle United will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Newcastle (votes: 26 - 86.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
    • Recent form of Burnley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (Suspended) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Lower Back Injury) Burn D. (Chest Injury) Elanga A. (Knock) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Knee Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury) Trippier K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Cullen J. (Injury) Esteve M. (Knock) Worrall J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Newcastle United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1
    04.05.2024 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:4
    30.09.2023 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    27.12.2025 Burnley - Everton 0:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Burnley - Fulham 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Newcastle United - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Burnley - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Sunderland - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    10.12.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle United 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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