Oldham Athletic vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Boundary Park (Oldham).

League Two - Round 17
Referee: Miller A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	0.49
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
7	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
9	6
Passes
76% (299/395)	72% (221/307)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	0.19
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
6	5
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
33	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
76% (299/395)	72% (221/307)
Long passes
46% (37/81)	40% (31/77)
Passes in final third
63% (93/147)	54% (56/103)
Crosses
17% (6/36)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.57
Throw-ins
22	19
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
56% (10/18)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
54	57
Clearances
25	50
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.19	2.14
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Odimayo A. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
39', Hannant L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Hannant L. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
46', Garner J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Hawkes J. ⚽,
56', Robson J. 🟨,
68', Ogunneye H. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
71', Mellon M. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Quigley J. ⚽, Drummond K. (A),
80', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
80', Kamwa B. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
84', Spellman M. 🟨,
89', 3 - 0, Hawkes J. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
90+1', Daniels D. ↓, Simeu D. ↑,
90+1', Pett T. ↓, Payne K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oldham Athletic
55.5%

Draw
24.1%

Newport County
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Oldham Athletic - Newport County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)	3.89 ↓ (4.16)	4.65 ↓ (4.85)	7.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Newport County?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Newport (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Oldham has had a series of home games.
In this match, Oldham is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg) Shephard L. (Hamstring Injury) Smith M. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Oldham: Hammond O. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker M. (Inactive) Davies T. (Inactive) Opoku N. (Injury) Thomas J. (Injury) Warner J. (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Newport County?

Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Oldham Athletic?

Newport County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Newport County were as follows:

04.11.2023 Newport County - Oldham Athletic 2:0

Latest results of Oldham Athletic

15.11.2025 Oldham Athletic - Crewe Alexandra 0:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 2:6 ✺

08.11.2025 Harrogate Town - Oldham Athletic 0:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town 3:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Oldham Athletic - Shrewsbury Town 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Newport County

15.11.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Newport County 1:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Newport County - Exeter City 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Newport County - Walsall 2:4 ✺

01.11.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Harrogate Town - Newport County 0:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	42	23	14	5	67:41	26	83
2	MK Dons	42	21	13	8	77:42	35	76
3	Notts Co	42	23	7	12	71:45	26	76
4	Cambridge Utd	41	20	14	7	58:31	27	74
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	42	23	4	15	57:50	7	73
7	Chesterfield	41	18	14	9	63:52	11	68
8	Crewe	42	19	9	14	61:50	11	66
9	Oldham	41	17	14	10	52:35	17	65
10	Grimsby	40	18	11	11	59:43	16	65
11	Barnet	42	17	13	12	57:47	10	64
12	Walsall	42	17	11	14	52:46	6	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	42	14	13	15	51:53	-2	55
15	Bristol Rovers	42	16	4	22	46:62	-16	52
16	Accrington	41	14	9	18	40:46	-6	51
17	Gillingham	41	12	13	16	48:60	-12	49
18	Shrewsbury	42	12	8	22	39:66	-27	44
19	Cheltenham	40	11	10	19	44:67	-23	43
20	Crawley	42	8	13	21	40:62	-22	37
21	Tranmere	41	9	9	23	48:71	-23	36
22	Newport	42	9	7	26	41:72	-31	34
23	Barrow	41	8	9	24	38:65	-27	33
24	Harrogate	42	8	9	25	34:64	-30	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League