Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Newport County - Tranmere Rovers
Result
1:4
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 46
  • Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.79
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
75% (266/353)84% (424/503)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.490.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.922.12
Total shots
712
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
04
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
26
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
75% (266/353)84% (424/503)
Long passes
35% (28/81)54% (30/56)
Passes in final third
40% (30/75)66% (101/153)
Crosses
8% (1/12)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.85
Throw-ins
267
Fouls
1510
Tackles
89% (8/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4153
Clearances
2731
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.120.92
Goals prevented
-1.88-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, McLoughlin S. ,
  • 27', Whitmore K. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Garrett J. , Norman C. (A),
  • 43', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Taylor S. , Davison J. ,
  • 48', 1 - 2, Dennis K. , Norman C. (A),
  • 63', Antwi C. , Alexander-Walker M. ,
  • 63', Dennis K. , Saunders H. ,
  • 66', Whitmore K. 🟥,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 71', 1 - 3, Patrick O. , Saunders H. (A),
  • 72', Greaves O. , Patten K. ,
  • 73', Patrick O. , Wood C. ,
  • 77', Norman C. , Jennings C. ,
  • 77', Garrett J. , Hawkes J. ,
  • 78', 1 - 4, Davison J. , Hawkes J. (A),
  • 81', Jameson K. , Spellman M. ,
  • 81', Hudlin K. , Evans C. ,
  • 81', Driscoll-Glennon A. , Davies T. ,

Chances of winning


Newport County
21.6%
Draw
25.1%
Tranmere Rovers
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.6% 26.6% 50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9% 25.7% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Newport County - Tranmere Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.4
    (4.15)
    3.76
    (3.52)
    1.77
    (1.84)
    5.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Newport County - Tranmere Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 22).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
    • Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tranmere has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Tranmere is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Newport: Evans C. (Inactive) Wildig A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Drysdale D. (Injury) Finley S. (Suspended) Hendry R. (Red Card) Khan S. (Inactive) Solomon S. (Injury) Walker B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C. (Injury) Clarke J. (Injury) Davies T. (Hamstring Injury) Spellman M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Norman C. (Injury) Norris L. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 2:1
    13.04.2024 Newport County - Tranmere Rovers 1:2
    09.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 2:1
    18.03.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 1:3
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe33006:159
    2Chesterfield33006:159
    3MK Dons32107:077
    4Grimsby32108:447
    5Fleetwood32106:337
    6Swindon32016:516
    7Walsall32014:316
    8Salford32015:506
    9Tranmere31206:245
    10Colchester31204:225
    11Bromley31204:225
    12Harrogate31205:415
    13Gillingham31203:215
    14Cambridge Utd31114:404
    15Newport31114:404
    16Barrow31022:4-23
    17Oldham30212:3-12
    18Notts Co30123:5-21
    19Accrington30122:5-31
    20Shrewsbury30120:6-61
    21Bristol Rovers30032:6-40
    22Barnet30031:6-50
    23Crawley30031:6-50
    24Cheltenham30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League