Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rodney Parade (Newport).

League Two - Round 46
Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.79
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	6
Passes
75% (266/353)	84% (424/503)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.92	2.12
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
0	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
2	6
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
9	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
10	15
Passes
75% (266/353)	84% (424/503)
Long passes
35% (28/81)	54% (30/56)
Passes in final third
40% (30/75)	66% (101/153)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.25	0.85
Throw-ins
26	7
Fouls
15	10
Tackles
89% (8/9)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
41	53
Clearances
27	31
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.12	0.92
Goals prevented
-1.88	-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, McLoughlin S. ⚽,
27', Whitmore K. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Garrett J. ⚽, Norman C. (A),
43', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Taylor S. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Dennis K. ⚽, Norman C. (A),
63', Antwi C. ↓, Alexander-Walker M. ↑,
63', Dennis K. ↓, Saunders H. ↑,
66', Whitmore K. 🟥,
67', 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Patrick O. ⚽, Saunders H. (A),
72', Greaves O. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
73', Patrick O. ↓, Wood C. ↑,
77', Norman C. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
77', Garrett J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
78', 1 - 4, Davison J. ⚽, Hawkes J. (A),
81', Jameson K. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
81', Hudlin K. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
81', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Davies T. ↑,

Chances of winning

Newport County
21.6%

Draw
25.1%

Tranmere Rovers
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26.6%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Newport County - Tranmere Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (4.15)	3.76 ↑ (3.52)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	5.9% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Newport County - Tranmere Rovers?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 22).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Tranmere has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Tranmere is the team to beat.
There will not play in Newport: Evans C. (Inactive) Wildig A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tranmere: Drysdale D. (Injury) Finley S. (Suspended) Hendry R. (Red Card) Khan S. (Inactive) Solomon S. (Injury) Walker B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C. (Injury) Clarke J. (Injury) Davies T. (Hamstring Injury) Spellman M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Norman C. (Injury) Norris L. (Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Tranmere Rovers?

Newport County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Newport County?

Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:

09.11.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 2:1

13.04.2024 Newport County - Tranmere Rovers 1:2

09.12.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 2:1

18.03.2023 Tranmere Rovers - Newport County 1:3

Latest results of Newport County

26.04.2025 Fleetwood Town - Newport County 2:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Newport County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Newport County - Colchester United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Carlisle United - Newport County 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

26.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Barrow - Tranmere Rovers 0:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Doncaster Rovers 0:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers 3:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield 4:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League