Result
3:1
03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 25
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (323/416) | 63% (187/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (323/416) | 63% (187/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 41% (34/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (94/149) | 47% (45/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -1.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Finley S. ⚽,
- 22', Finley S. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Spellman M. ⚽, Baker-Richardson C. (A),
- 45+1', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Finley S. 🟥,
- 45+5', Kamwa B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Patrick O. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 60', Lloyd B. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 79', Biggins H. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 80', Plant J. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Kamwa B. (A),
- 89', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
- 89', Plant J. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 90+1', Obiero Z. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Spellman M. ⚽, Kamwa B. (A),
Chances of winning
Newport County
34.4% | Draw
28.7% | Tranmere Rovers
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Newport County - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(2.85) |
3.29 ↑
(3.2) |
2.54 ↑
(2.33) |
6.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tranmere will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Tranmere (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 0.
- Newport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tranmere's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tranmere might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Patrick O.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Newport: Garner G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Tranmere Rovers?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Newport County?
Tranmere Rovers has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
13.09.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
1:1
03.05.2025
Newport County
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:4
09.11.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
2:1
13.04.2024
Newport County
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:2
09.12.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
2:1
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
