Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Young A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (172/230) | 69% (152/220) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (172/230) | 69% (152/220) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 40% (19/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (45/84) | 56% (42/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Reindorf M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Joseph J. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
- 37', Jenkins L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jennings C. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 46', Harris T. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
- 48', Joseph J. 🟨,
- 61', Whitmore K. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 61', Reindorf M. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 61', Opoku N. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 66', Joseph J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
- 66', Kenneh N. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
- 75', Ogunneye H. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
- 76', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 78', Ironside J. ↓, Turnbull J. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽, Spellman M. (A),
- 90+1', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
60.9% | Draw
24.2% | Newport County
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tranmere Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Tranmere Rovers - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.48) |
4.07 ↓
(4.14) |
6.72 ↑
(6.3) |
2.3%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4.
- Recent performances by Tranmere have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Newport is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tranmere is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Tranmere: Dennis K.
(Calf Injury)
Finley S.
(Suspended)
Williams J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Shephard L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Newport County?
Tranmere Rovers has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Tranmere Rovers?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Newport County were as follows:
03.05.2025
Newport County
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:4
09.11.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
2:1
13.04.2024
Newport County
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:2
09.12.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
2:1
18.03.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
1:3
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
