Result
1:4
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.79 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
75% (266/353) | 84% (424/503) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.49 | 0.79 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.92 | 2.12 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 15 |
Passes |
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75% (266/353) | 84% (424/503) |
Long passes |
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35% (28/81) | 54% (30/56) |
Passes in final third |
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40% (30/75) | 66% (101/153) |
Crosses |
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8% (1/12) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.25 | 0.85 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 7 |
Fouls |
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15 | 10 |
Tackles |
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89% (8/9) | 62% (13/21) |
Duels won |
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41 | 53 |
Clearances |
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27 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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2.12 | 0.92 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.88 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, McLoughlin S. ⚽,
- 27', Whitmore K. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Garrett J. ⚽, Norman C. (A),
- 43', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Taylor S. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Dennis K. ⚽, Norman C. (A),
- 63', Antwi C. ↓, Alexander-Walker M. ↑,
- 63', Dennis K. ↓, Saunders H. ↑,
- 66', Whitmore K. 🟥,
- 67', 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 3, Patrick O. ⚽, Saunders H. (A),
- 72', Greaves O. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
- 73', Patrick O. ↓, Wood C. ↑,
- 77', Norman C. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
- 77', Garrett J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 4, Davison J. ⚽, Hawkes J. (A),
- 81', Jameson K. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 81', Hudlin K. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 81', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County 21.6% | Draw 25.1% | Tranmere Rovers 53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Newport County - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.4 ↑ (4.15) |
3.76 ↑ (3.52) |
1.77 ↓ (1.84) |
5.9% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Tranmere will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tranmere (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Tranmere has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tranmere is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Newport: Evans C.
(Inactive)
Wildig A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Drysdale D.
(Injury)
Finley S.
(Suspended)
Hendry R.
(Red Card)
Khan S.
(Inactive)
Solomon S.
(Injury)
Walker B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Injury)
Clarke J.
(Injury)
Davies T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Spellman M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Norman C.
(Injury)
Norris L.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Tranmere Rovers?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Newport County?
Tranmere Rovers has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
09.11.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
2:1
13.04.2024
Newport County
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:2
09.12.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
2:1
18.03.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Newport County
1:3
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League