Nice vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, France 3, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
italyItalyComo TV
norwayNorwayVG+
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
uruguayUruguayDSports 6
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.67
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
50
Passes
81% (326/402)91% (649/715)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.191.00
Total shots
917
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
09
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
81% (326/402)91% (649/715)
Long passes
47% (21/45)57% (24/42)
Passes in final third
60% (48/80)72% (105/146)
Crosses
11% (1/9)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.78
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1210
Tackles
72% (13/18)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4546
Clearances
816
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.002.19
Goals prevented
0.000.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Diallo Z. , Clauss J. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Old B. 🟨,
  • 61', Jaber M. 🟨,
  • 63', Ndombele T. , Gouveia T. ,
  • 63', Diallo Z. , Nguene B. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Sanson M. ,
  • 77', Eymard P. , El Jamali N. ,
  • 78', Tardieu F. , Miladinovic I. ,
  • 82', Diop S. , Bernardeau G. ,
  • 87', Sanson M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Cho M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
47.4%
Draw
25.5%
Saint-Étienne
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 24.4% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 26% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nice's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nice - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.73)
    3.62
    (3.88)
    3.47
    (4.51)
    7.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Nice - Saint-Étienne?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Saint-Étienne (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Saint-Étienne (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Saint-Étienne (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Saint-Étienne (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Saint-Étienne (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Saint-Étienne (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Saint-Étienne (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Saint-Étienne (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 10 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 4.
    • Nice has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Saint-Étienne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saint-Étienne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nice could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 3.68.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:4. (average 1.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nice 1:3
    20.09.2024 Nice - Saint-Étienne 8:0
    Latest results of Nice
    14.12.2025 Lens - Nice 2:0
    11.12.2025 Nice - Braga 0:1
    07.12.2025 Nice - Angers 0:1
    30.11.2025 Lorient - Nice 3:1
    27.11.2025 Porto - Nice 3:0
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    13.12.2025 Saint-Étienne - Bastia 2:2
    06.12.2025 Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    22.11.2025 Saint-Étienne - Nancy 2:1
    15.11.2025 Quetigny - Saint-Étienne 1:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1BrestBye
    3AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    4SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    5StrasbourgBye
    7ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    8BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    9Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    10OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    11JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    12Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    13AuxerreBye
    16ByeMonaco
    17Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    18ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    19FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    20EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    21IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    22Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    23AvionTorcy0 : 2
    24OCPAMReims0 : 1
    25Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    26IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    27Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    28MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    29CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    30Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    31SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    32GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    33Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    34Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    35AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    36Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    37LorientBye
    39MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    40OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    41PSGBye
    43FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    44Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    45Paris FCBye
    47MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    48MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    49Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    50St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    52ByeNantes
    53NiceBye
    55Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    56QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    57Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    58ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    60ByeMetz
    61AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    62LavaurRodez1 : 3
    63MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    64AgdeMontpellier0 : 2
    65Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    66CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    68ByeLille
    69LyonBye
    71Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    72FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    73SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    74SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    75SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    76TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    77Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    78St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    79Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    80Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    81EspoirEveil1 : 0
    82ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    83SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    84US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    85Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    86LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    87TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    88AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    89Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    90PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    91SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    92Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    93LensBye
    95APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    96CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    97YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    98BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    99Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    100BloisClermont2 : 1
    101MarseilleBye
    103Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    104Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    105CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    106PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    107WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    108BesanconThionville4 : 0
    109Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    110PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    112ByeRennes
    113PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    114OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    116ByeAngers
    117PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    118Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    120ByeToulouse
    121MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    122GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    123Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    124LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    125Le HavreBye
    127Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    128AubyAmiens0 : 3

    1/64-finals
    1BrestBye
    2AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    3StrasbourgBye
    4AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    5Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    6BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    7AuxerreBye
    8ByeMonaco
    9ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    10MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    11IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    12TorcyReims1 : 5
    13Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    14PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    15AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    16SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    17MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    18Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    19LorientBye
    20AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    21PSGBye
    22FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    23Paris FCBye
    24Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    25ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    26ByeNantes
    27NiceBye
    28Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    29BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    30ByeMetz
    31Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    32MontceauMontpellier0 : 2
    33BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    34ByeLille
    35LyonBye
    36Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    37SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    38SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    39Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    40LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    41EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    42Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    43Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    44TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    45Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    46SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    47LensBye
    48APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    49YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    50RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    51MarseilleBye
    52SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    53CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    54FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    55Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    56ByeRennes
    57PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    58ByeAngers
    59Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    60ByeToulouse
    61MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    62ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    63Le HavreBye
    64Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1BrestAvranches1 : 2
    2StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    3OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    4AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    5Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    6IC CroixReims0 : 4
    7Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    8GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    9Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    10LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    11PSGFontenay4 : 0
    12Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    13ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    14NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    15BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    16Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1
    17LusitanosLille0 : 1
    18LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    19IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    20GuingampLaval0 : 1
    21PontivyBastia0 : 1
    22Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    23SochauxBethune4 : 2
    24LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    25BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    26MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    27ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    28Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    29Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    30Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    31MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    32Le HavreAmiens0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    2OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    3Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    4Le MansNancy1 : 0
    5Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    6PSGParis FC0 : 1
    7NantesNice1 : 2
    8MetzMontpellier0 : 4
    9LilleLyon1 : 2
    10IstresLaval0 : 2
    11BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    12SochauxLens0 : 3
    13BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    14ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    15AngersToulouse1 : 2
    16MontreuilAmiens2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    2ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    3LorientParis FC2 : 0
    4NiceMontpellier3 : 2
    5LyonLaval2 : 0
    6TroyesLens2 : 4
    7MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    8ToulouseAmiens1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    2LorientNice0 : 1
    3LyonLens2 : 3
    4MarseilleToulouse2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1StrasbourgNice
    2LensToulouse