Result
4:2
04/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26
- Referee: El Hadj H. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Bastia 50.1% | Draw 29% | Nîmes 20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bastia - Nîmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (1.96) |
3.23 ↑ (3.2) |
4.49 ↑ (3.94) |
6.8% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Nîmes?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.9% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Bastia has the most likely position - 8 (12.83%), has project points - 55, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (20.88%), has project points - 38, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 29, small importance 26, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Bastia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nîmes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Bastia is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Nîmes?
Bastia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nîmes won against Bastia?
Nîmes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Nîmes were as follows:
10.09.2022
Nîmes
-
Bastia
0:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 35 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 | Reims | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32:20 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Red Star | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Pau FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:30 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Annecy | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 11 | Grenoble | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Rodez | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 | Clermont | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Amiens | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Nancy | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 16 |
| 17 | Laval | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 15 |
| 18 | Bastia | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National