Bastia vs Nîmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Bastia - Nîmes
Result
4:2
04/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26
  • Referee: El Hadj H. (Fra)

Chances of winning


Bastia
50.1%
Draw
29%
Nîmes
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 29% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 28.1% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Bastia - Nîmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.96)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    4.49
    (3.94)
    6.8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Nîmes?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Bastia has the most likely position - 8 (12.83%), has project points - 55, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (20.88%), has project points - 38, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 29, small importance 26, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Bastia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nîmes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Bastia is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Nîmes were as follows:
    10.09.2022 Nîmes - Bastia 0:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    25.02.2023 Rodez - Bastia 0:2
    18.02.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 1:1
    11.02.2023 Bastia - Quevilly 0:1
    03.02.2023 Caen - Bastia 3:1
    31.01.2023 Bastia - Saint-Étienne 2:0
    Latest results of Nîmes
    25.02.2023 Metz - Nîmes 2:0
    20.02.2023 Nîmes - Saint-Étienne 1:2
    11.02.2023 Rodez - Nîmes 1:1
    03.02.2023 Nîmes - Grenoble 0:2
    31.01.2023 Guingamp - Nîmes 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National