Result
4:2
04/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26
- Referee: El Hadj H. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Bastia
50.1% | Draw
29% | Nîmes
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+2%)
Bastia - Nîmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.96) |
3.23 ↑
(3.2) |
4.49 ↑
(3.94) |
6.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Nîmes?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.9% – 95.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Bastia has the most likely position - 8 (12.83%), has project points - 55, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (20.88%), has project points - 38, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (71%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 29, small importance 26, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Recent matches Bastia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Nîmes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Bastia is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Nîmes?
Bastia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nîmes won against Bastia?
Nîmes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Nîmes were as follows:
10.09.2022
Nîmes
-
Bastia
0:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
