Result
1:0
11/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 27
- Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Pau
41.9% | Draw
30.4% | Niort
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Pau - Niort Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.19) |
3.06 ↓
(3.1) |
3.39 ↑
(3.27) |
6.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pau - Niort?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Niort will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Pau has the most likely position - 17 (17.71%), has project points - 40, has currently - 27, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Niort has the most likely position - 20 (43.85%), has project points - 35, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 23, importance 48, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Pau has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Niort is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Pau will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Niort?
Pau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Niort won against Pau?
Niort has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Niort were as follows:
30.12.2022
Niort
-
Pau
2:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
