Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Hadzic A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (324/404) | 76% (268/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (324/404) | 76% (268/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 40% (27/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (64/107) | 52% (54/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Careaga S. ⚽,
- 29', Perez L. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽, Burner P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', Pedro Becker ↓, Conway E. ↑,
- 61', Moreira J. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
- 64', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
- 67', Perez L. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
- 75', Careaga S. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
- 75', Hairston M. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
- 75', Edwards K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Sommersall R. ⚽,
- 85', Anderson O. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Hodge T. (Own goal),
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Diz A. ⚽, Samadia E. (A),
- 90+6', Presthus O. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
- 90+6', Samadia E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
North Carolina
37.6% | Draw
27.2% | Hartford Athletic
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina's form might have worsened.Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hartford Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartford Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Carolina - Hartford Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.01) |
3.52 ↑
(3.51) |
2.72 ↓
(3.36) |
4.5%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for North Carolina - Hartford Athletic?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- North Carolina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hartford is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- North Carolina might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Hartford Athletic?
North Carolina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against North Carolina?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
06.06.2025
Hartford Athletic
-
North Carolina
0:1
12.10.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
North Carolina
4:3
29.03.2024
North Carolina
-
Hartford Athletic
2:1
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
