Result
2:1
05/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (414/465) | 87% (351/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (414/465) | 87% (351/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (68/99) | 62% (40/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Gilbert G. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ⚽, Ferri B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Maldonado M. 🟨,
- 64', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Epps M. ↑,
- 67', Craig P. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 0, Nick Firmino ⚽,
- 73', Anderson O. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
- 73', Maldonado M. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
- 77', Adedokun M. ↓, Greene J. ↑,
- 85', Donovan C. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Da Costa R. ⚽,
- 89', Nick Firmino ↓, Zengue X. ↑,
- 89', Craig P. ↓, Malou J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lexington
41.1% | Draw
28.8% | North Carolina
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Lexington - North Carolina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.33) |
3.19 ↓
(3.24) |
3.06 ↑
(2.93) |
8.7%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lexington - North Carolina?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - North Carolina (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against North Carolina?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Lexington?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - North Carolina were as follows:
07.10.2023
Lexington
-
North Carolina
0:1
18.06.2023
North Carolina
-
Lexington
2:2
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of North Carolina
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
