North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 penalties
14/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.88
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
83% (317/380)83% (324/389)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.41
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2824
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
83% (317/380)83% (324/389)
Long passes
43% (23/53)41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
71% (79/112)77% (105/137)
Crosses
9% (2/23)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.06
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1115
Tackles
80% (12/15)67% (14/21)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.411.46
Goals prevented
0.410.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Torquato J. 🟨,
  • 31', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Uderitz H. , Clarke N. ,
  • 57', Arellano B. , Alexandre M. ,
  • 57', Tschantret M. , Donovan S. ,
  • 59', Swann C. 🟨,
  • 65', Uderitz B. 🟨,
  • 72', Derksen C. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 72', Molina M. , DuBois J. ,
  • 73', Garcia D. , Contreras J. ,
  • 76', Uderitz B. , Wantland Z. ,
  • 81', Sangare F. , Salazar C. ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Contreras J. , Sarver S. (A),
  • 89', 1 - 1, Lurot P. , Ortiz J. (A),
  • 90+2', Kortkamp J. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Sarver S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Sarver S. (Pen),
  • 1, Mabie B. (Pen),
  • 2, Urzua A. (Pen),
  • 2, Ortiz J. (Pen),
  • 3, Salazar C. (Pen),
  • 3, Donovan S. (Pen),
  • 4, Swann C. (Pen),
  • 4, Samways A. (Pen),
  • 5, Contreras J. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


North Texas
65.4%
Draw
18.2%
Sporting Kansas City II
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4% 17% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.31)
    5.08
    (5.05)
    5.61
    (7.25)
    8.5%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
    • North Texas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting KC II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, North Texas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:4
    28.03.2025 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 3:4
    29.09.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 1:2
    10.08.2024 North Texas - Sporting Kansas City II 2:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - North Texas 0:2
    Latest results of North Texas
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)