Stockport County vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.860.48
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
224
Shots on target
81
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
83
Passes
81% (407/501)68% (220/325)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.860.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.500.39
Total shots
224
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
101
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
132
Shots outside the box
92
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
11
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
88
Passes
81% (407/501)68% (220/325)
Long passes
49% (34/69)34% (30/88)
Passes in final third
78% (156/201)55% (57/104)
Crosses
27% (12/45)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.30
Throw ins
2523
Fouls
88
Tackles
61% (22/36)61% (11/18)
Duels won
7541
Clearances
2350
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.392.50
Goals prevented
-0.610.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Stokes J. , Norwood O. (A),
  • 11', Olaofe T. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, McGeehan C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McCarthy C. , Evans J. ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Wootton K. , Stokes J. (A),
  • 63', Burroughs J. , Dyche M. ,
  • 72', Olaofe T. , Sidibeh A. ,
  • 72', Osborn B. , Edun T. ,
  • 72', Stokes J. , Bate L. ,
  • 74', Hoskins S. 🟨,
  • 79', Guthrie J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 79', Eaves T. , Edwards K. ,
  • 81', Fornah T. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 90+2', Bailey O. , Olowu J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stockport County
65.6%
Draw
20.3%
Northampton Town
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.4% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 17.9% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stockport County - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.49)
    4.61
    (4.1)
    6.58
    (5.73)
    6.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stockport County - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Stockport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Northampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Stockport has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Stockport is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stockport County - Northampton Town were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Northampton Town - Stockport County 0:0
    04.03.2025 Northampton Town - Stockport County 1:1
    22.10.2024 Stockport County - Northampton Town 1:1
    14.01.2023 Stockport County - Northampton Town 2:0
    24.09.2022 Northampton Town - Stockport County 2:1
    Latest results of Stockport County
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship