Stockport County vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.860.48
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
224
Shots on target
81
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
83
Passes
81% (407/501)68% (220/325)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.860.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.500.39
Total shots
224
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
101
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
132
Shots outside the box
92
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
11
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
88
Passes
81% (407/501)68% (220/325)
Long passes
49% (34/69)34% (30/88)
Passes in final third
78% (156/201)55% (57/104)
Crosses
27% (12/45)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.140.30
Throw ins
2523
Fouls
88
Tackles
61% (22/36)61% (11/18)
Duels won
7541
Clearances
2350
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.392.50
Goals prevented
-0.610.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Stokes J. , Norwood O. (A),
  • 11', Olaofe T. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, McGeehan C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McCarthy C. , Evans J. ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Wootton K. , Stokes J. (A),
  • 63', Burroughs J. , Dyche M. ,
  • 72', Olaofe T. , Sidibeh A. ,
  • 72', Osborn B. , Edun T. ,
  • 72', Stokes J. , Bate L. ,
  • 74', Hoskins S. 🟨,
  • 79', Guthrie J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 79', Eaves T. , Edwards K. ,
  • 81', Fornah T. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 90+2', Bailey O. , Olowu J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stockport County
65.6%
Draw
20.3%
Northampton Town
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 22.4% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 17.9% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stockport County - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.49)
    4.61
    (4.1)
    6.58
    (5.73)
    6.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stockport County - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Stockport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Northampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Stockport has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Stockport is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stockport County - Northampton Town were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Northampton Town - Stockport County 0:0
    04.03.2025 Northampton Town - Stockport County 1:1
    22.10.2024 Stockport County - Northampton Town 1:1
    14.01.2023 Stockport County - Northampton Town 2:0
    24.09.2022 Northampton Town - Stockport County 2:1
    Latest results of Stockport County
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

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          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
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