Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
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| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
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| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (407/501) | 68% (220/325) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.86 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.50 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (407/501) | 68% (220/325) |
| Long passes |
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| 49% (34/69) | 34% (30/88) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 78% (156/201) | 55% (57/104) |
| Crosses |
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| 27% (12/45) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 2.14 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
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| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 61% (22/36) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
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| 75 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 23 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.39 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.61 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Stokes J. ⚽, Norwood O. (A),
- 11', Olaofe T. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', McCarthy C. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Wootton K. ⚽, Stokes J. (A),
- 63', Burroughs J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 72', Olaofe T. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
- 72', Osborn B. ↓, Edun T. ↑,
- 72', Stokes J. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
- 74', Hoskins S. 🟨,
- 79', Guthrie J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 79', Eaves T. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 81', Fornah T. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 90+2', Bailey O. ↓, Olowu J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stockport County 65.6% | Draw 20.3% | Northampton Town 14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-16.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stockport County - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↓ (1.49) |
4.61 ↑ (4.1) |
6.58 ↑ (5.73) |
6.6% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stockport County - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Stockport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Northampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Stockport has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Stockport is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Northampton Town?
Stockport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Stockport County?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stockport County - Northampton Town were as follows:
01.01.2026
Northampton Town
-
Stockport County
0:0
04.03.2025
Northampton Town
-
Stockport County
1:1
22.10.2024
Stockport County
-
Northampton Town
1:1
14.01.2023
Stockport County
-
Northampton Town
2:0
24.09.2022
Northampton Town
-
Stockport County
2:1
Latest results of Stockport County
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two