Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 37
- Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (328/464) | 71% (231/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (328/464) | 71% (231/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (22/75) | 24% (17/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (107/175) | 55% (65/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Naismith K. ⚽, Walsh L. (A),
- 39', 0 - 2, Palmer K. ⚽, Saville G. (A),
- 45+1', Saville G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Mullins J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
- 61', Harris L. 🟨,
- 70', Harvie D. 🟨,
- 70', Harris L. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
- 70', Lowe N. ↓, Vidigal A. ↑,
- 70', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
- 73', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
- 78', Kodua G. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 78', Grimmer J. ↓, Huggins N. ↑,
- 84', Vidigal A. 🟨,
- 89', Palmer K. ↓, Adebayo E. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 2, Quitirna A. ⚽, Morley A. (A),
Chances of winning
Wycombe Wanderers
45% | Draw
27.2% | Luton Town
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.02) |
3.42 ↑
(3.41) |
3.37 ↑
(3.31) |
6.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Wycombe Wanderers will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wycombe Wanderers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 0.
- Wycombe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Luton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wycombe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Wycombe is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Mengi T.
(Injury)
Sandal S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wycombe: Lowry A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Wycombe Wanderers won against Luton Town?
Wycombe Wanderers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Wycombe Wanderers?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town were as follows:
26.12.2025
Luton Town
-
Wycombe Wanderers
4:0
Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
