Nottingham Forest vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4, VOOsport World 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena, TV8
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoFox Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 6
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.56
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
85% (390/458)84% (367/438)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.25
Total shots
810
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
85% (390/458)84% (367/438)
Long passes
53% (31/58)50% (17/34)
Passes in final third
74% (105/142)65% (86/133)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.94
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
1315
Tackles
80% (12/15)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4347
Clearances
3122
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.251.67
Goals prevented
-0.75-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Gibbs-White M. (Pen),
  • 25', Moura F. 🟨,
  • 35', Igor Jesus 🟨,
  • 45+1', Zinchenko O. ↓, Savona N. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Sainz B. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
  • 58', Varela A. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
  • 58', Moura F. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
  • 76', Costa A. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Igor Jesus (Pen),
  • 84', Pepê ↓, Mora R. ↑,
  • 85', Douglas Luiz ↓, Yates R. ↑,
  • 89', Veiga G. 🟨,
  • 90', Murillo 🟨,
  • 90+3', Anderson E. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nottingham Forest
36.2%		Draw
29.9%		Porto
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 26.7% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 28.2% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nottingham Forest's form might have worsened.
  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Nottingham Forest - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.66 ↑
    (2.12)    		 3.21 ↓
    (3.58)    		 2.86 ↓
    (3.4)    		 3.7%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 12 - 14.6%). Porto will win (votes: 56 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 17.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 58.2% – 78.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Porto (1.54) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Porto (2.02) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Porto (1.70) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Nottingham (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Porto (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (35 of 47 users predict this - 74.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 64 high ROI users predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 8 - 12.5%). Porto (votes: 51 - 79.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 7.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Nottingham is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Porto is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Awoniyi T. (Inactive) Cunha (Inactive) Gunn A. (Inactive) Hutchinson O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Perez T. (Inactive) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    18.10.2025 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest 2:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Nottingham Forest - Midtjylland 2:3 ✺
    27.09.2025 Nottingham Forest - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Betis - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Porto
    18.10.2025 Celoricense - Porto 0:4
    05.10.2025 Porto - Benfica 0:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 2:1 ✺
    29.09.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:4 ✺
    25.09.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Porto 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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