Notts County vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Notts County - Barnsley
Result
2:1
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.84
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
82% (341/414)85% (401/472)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.220.84
xG on target (xGOT)
3.520.88
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
4120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
82% (341/414)85% (401/472)
Long passes
31% (15/48)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
75% (97/130)65% (68/104)
Crosses
26% (8/31)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.420.37
Throw-ins
139
Fouls
1618
Tackles
44% (8/18)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5848
Clearances
929
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.883.52
Goals prevented
-0.121.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Bland J. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Luker J. , Kouhyar Q. (A),
  • 45+1', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Luker J. , Robertson S. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Keillor-Dunn D. , Cleary R. (A),
  • 53', Bland J. 🟨,
  • 55', Keillor-Dunn D. , Watson T. ,
  • 56', Robertson S. 🟨,
  • 64', Kouhyar Q. , Tsaroulla N. ,
  • 65', Iorpenda T. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 65', Vickers C. , Connell L. ,
  • 72', Yoganathan V. , Phillips A. ,
  • 73', Cleary R. , Farrell L. ,
  • 73', Rooney J. , Earl J. ,
  • 78', Jatta A. , Iwunze H. ,
  • 81', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
  • 84', Watson T. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Hall T. ,
  • 90+3', Hall T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Notts County
38.3%
Draw
26.1%
Barnsley
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 25.6% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 24.8% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notts County - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.63)
    3.68
    (3.53)
    2.78
    (2.27)
    3.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Barnsley
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    20.09.2025 Blackpool - Barnsley 1:0
    13.09.2025 Barnsley - Reading 3:2
    06.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Barnsley Postponed
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