Result
2:1
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (341/414) | 85% (401/472) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.52 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (341/414) | 85% (401/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (15/48) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (97/130) | 65% (68/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 3.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Bland J. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Luker J. ⚽, Kouhyar Q. (A),
- 45+1', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Luker J. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 53', Bland J. 🟨,
- 55', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 56', Robertson S. 🟨,
- 64', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
- 65', Iorpenda T. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 65', Vickers C. ↓, Connell L. ↑,
- 72', Yoganathan V. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 73', Cleary R. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
- 73', Rooney J. ↓, Earl J. ↑,
- 78', Jatta A. ↓, Iwunze H. ↑,
- 81', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
- 84', Watson T. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Hall T. ⚽,
- 90+3', Hall T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County
38.3% | Draw
26.1% | Barnsley
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Notts County - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.63) |
3.68 ↑
(3.53) |
2.78 ↑
(2.27) |
3.5%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Notts County (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Notts County (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Barnsley?
Notts County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Notts County?
Barnsley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Barnsley were as follows:
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Barnsley
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
