Result
2:1
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.22 | 0.84 |
Ball Possession |
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48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 1 |
Passes |
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82% (341/414) | 85% (401/472) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.22 | 0.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.52 | 0.88 |
Total shots |
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18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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14 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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41 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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18 | 16 |
Passes |
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82% (341/414) | 85% (401/472) |
Long passes |
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31% (15/48) | 36% (19/53) |
Passes in final third |
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75% (97/130) | 65% (68/104) |
Crosses |
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26% (8/31) | 38% (3/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.42 | 0.37 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 9 |
Fouls |
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16 | 18 |
Tackles |
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44% (8/18) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
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58 | 48 |
Clearances |
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9 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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0.88 | 3.52 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.12 | 1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Bland J. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Luker J. ⚽, Kouhyar Q. (A),
- 45+1', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Luker J. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, Cleary R. (A),
- 53', Bland J. 🟨,
- 55', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 56', Robertson S. 🟨,
- 64', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
- 65', Iorpenda T. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 65', Vickers C. ↓, Connell L. ↑,
- 72', Yoganathan V. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 73', Cleary R. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
- 73', Rooney J. ↓, Earl J. ↑,
- 78', Jatta A. ↓, Iwunze H. ↑,
- 81', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
- 84', Watson T. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Hall T. ⚽,
- 90+3', Hall T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County 38.3% | Draw 26.1% | Barnsley 35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Notts County - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↓ (2.63) |
3.68 ↑ (3.53) |
2.78 ↑ (2.27) |
3.5% (10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Barnsley will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barnsley has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Barnsley?
Notts County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Notts County?
Barnsley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Barnsley were as follows:
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Barnsley
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
2 | Salford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
2 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
4 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
3 | Grimsby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Lincoln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
2 | Notts Co | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
3 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Manchester Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Bolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
2 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
3 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
4 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Harrogate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
3 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Fleetwood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
3 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
4 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
2 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
3 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
4 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
2 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
3 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
3 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
4 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Northampton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
2 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
3 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
4 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
2 | Reading | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
3 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
4 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
3 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Crawley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
2 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
3 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Colchester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
3 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
2 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
3 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
4 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |