Notts County vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 37
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.08	1.92
Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
5	20
Shots on target
3	5
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
2	5
Passes
70% (230/327)	84% (464/554)
Yellow cards
5	4
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.08	1.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.88	2.08
Total shots
5	20
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
0	9
Blocked shots
2	6
Shots inside the box
4	13
Shots outside the box
1	7
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	2
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
16	39
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
12	13
Passes
70% (230/327)	84% (464/554)
Long passes
36% (25/69)	25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
42% (26/62)	78% (166/212)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.55
Throw ins
23	19
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
56% (9/16)	48% (10/21)
Duels won
59	68
Clearances
19	11
Interceptions
5	2
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.08	1.88
Goals prevented
-0.92	0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', Norburn O. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Dobra A. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
19', Norburn O. 🟨,
23', Curtis S. 🟨,
31', Swinkels S. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Swinkels S. (Own goal),
42', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Naylor T. ⚽, Pearce T. (A),
45', Naylor T. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 2, Platt M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Curtis S. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
49', Pearce T. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
57', Platt M. ↓, Macari L. ↑,
58', Tangen H. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
58', Palmer M. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Mandeville L. ⚽, Braybrooke S. (A),
70', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
76', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
77', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
78', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jatta A. ↑,
87', Dobra A. ↓, Stirk R. ↑,
87', Naylor T. ↓, Owolabi-Belewu M. ↑,
90', Bedeau J. 🟨,
90+6', Dennis M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Notts County
43.8%

Draw
27.9%

Chesterfield
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Notts County - Chesterfield Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)	3.34 ↓ (3.36)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	7.1% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Notts County - Chesterfield?

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Chesterfield?

Notts County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Notts County?

Chesterfield has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Chesterfield were as follows:

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0

15.03.2025 Notts County - Chesterfield 1:2

12.10.2024 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:2

13.05.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:3

11.02.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 1:2

Latest results of Notts County

07.03.2026 Walsall - Notts County 1:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Notts County - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 5:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Bromley - Notts County 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Chesterfield

07.03.2026 Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town 2:3 ✺

03.03.2026 Chesterfield - Colchester United 3:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Barnet - Chesterfield 1:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Crawley Town - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League