Notts County vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Notts County - Chesterfield
Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.87
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1310
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
10
Fouls
1113
Throw-ins
2414
Touches in the Opposition Box
2923
Passes
80% (370/464)75% (284/378)
Passes in the final third
74% (103/140)65% (89/136)
Crosses
21% (6/29)23% (3/13)
Tackles
70% (7/10)80% (8/10)
Clearances Total
3432
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Sheckleford R. , Donacien J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 70', 0 - 1, Pepple A. ,
  • 71', Grant C. , Whitaker C. ,
  • 71', Tsaroulla N. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 72', Gordon L. , Duffy D. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Jarvis W. ,
  • 82', Banks O. , Fleck J. ,
  • 82', Mandeville L. , Hobson B. ,
  • 82', Dobra A. , Colclough R. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Naylor T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
48.1%
Draw
25.9%
Chesterfield
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.5% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.
  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notts County - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.21)
    3.63
    (3.39)
    3.63
    (3.1)
    6.2%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Notts County - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Notts County will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Ness L. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Jones M. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S. (Injury) Bass A. (Injury) Jones J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Araujo H. (Knee Injury) Grigg W. (Calf Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive) McFadzean K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Chesterfield were as follows:
    12.10.2024 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:2
    13.05.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:3
    11.02.2023 Chesterfield - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Bromley52308:539
    7Walsall53025:419
    8Swindon53028:809
    9Salford53026:609
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Shrewsbury50142:12-101
    24Cheltenham50051:11-100

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League