Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 37
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.94 | 1.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
13 | 10 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 14 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
29 | 23 |
Passes |
---|
80% (370/464) | 75% (284/378) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
74% (103/140) | 65% (89/136) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (6/29) | 23% (3/13) |
Tackles |
---|
70% (7/10) | 80% (8/10) |
Clearances Total |
---|
34 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Sheckleford R. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 70', 0 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽,
- 71', Grant C. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
- 71', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 72', Gordon L. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Jarvis W. ⚽,
- 82', Banks O. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
- 82', Mandeville L. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
- 82', Dobra A. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Naylor T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Notts County 48.1% | Draw 25.9% | Chesterfield 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Notts County - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↓ (2.21) |
3.63 ↑ (3.39) |
3.63 ↑ (3.1) |
6.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Notts County - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Notts County will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Notts County: Ness L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dunkley C.
(Neck Injury)
Jones M.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Austin S.
(Injury)
Bass A.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Araujo H.
(Knee Injury)
Grigg W.
(Calf Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
McFadzean K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Chesterfield?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Notts County?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Chesterfield were as follows:
12.10.2024
Chesterfield
-
Notts County
2:2
13.05.2023
Chesterfield
-
Notts County
2:3
11.02.2023
Chesterfield
-
Notts County
1:2
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League