Result
4:0
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 9
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/398) | 81% (333/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/398) | 81% (333/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (15/55) | 29% (12/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (84/118) | 62% (53/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (23/29) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', McKirdy H. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Robertson S. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', Barker C. 🟨,
- 53', Pereira D. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
- 53', Brown R. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 54', Tshimanga K. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
- 67', Grant C. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 67', Iorpenda T. ↓, Luker J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Hall T. ⚽, Luker J. (A),
- 74', Jones J. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Luker J. (A),
- 77', Adeyemo A. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
- 80', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 0, Hall T. ⚽, Luker J. (A),
Chances of winning
Notts County
47.3% | Draw
25.7% | Crawley Town
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Notts County's form might have worsened.Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Notts County - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.76) |
3.66 ↓
(3.9) |
3.54 ↓
(4.2) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
- Recent performances by Notts County have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crawley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crawley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Notts County might have a minor edge in this game.
- There are questionable in Notts County: Dennis M.
(Injury)
Gordon K.
(Injury)
Jarvis W.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Brown R.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Injury)
Watson L.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crawley Town?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Notts County?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Crawley Town were as follows:
12.03.2024
Crawley Town
-
Notts County
2:1
28.11.2023
Notts County
-
Crawley Town
3:1
04.11.2023
Notts County
-
Crawley Town
3:2
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Crewe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
