Crawley Town vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 27
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.65	1.81
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	7
Passes
75% (280/374)	76% (274/361)
Yellow cards
1	2
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.65	1.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	1.63
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
3	12
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
19	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
16	11
Passes
75% (280/374)	76% (274/361)
Long passes
38% (26/69)	36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
47% (47/99)	72% (74/103)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.10	1.46
Throw ins
25	23
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
74% (14/19)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
53	54
Clearances
37	37
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.63	0.82
Goals prevented
-0.37	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Williams J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
64', Lolos K. 🟥,
68', Jones J. 🟨,
68', Pereira D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
68', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
69', Jones J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
69', Grant C. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
76', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,
85', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
86', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
90+3', Ness L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, McKirdy H. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
32.4%

Draw
27.2%

Notts County
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Crawley Town - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.31 ↑ (2.26)	7.5% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Notts County?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
Crawley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Notts County has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Flower L. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Notts County?

Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crawley Town?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Notts County were as follows:

20.09.2025 Notts County - Crawley Town 4:0

12.03.2024 Crawley Town - Notts County 2:1

28.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:1

04.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:2

Latest results of Crawley Town

04.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Barnet - Crawley Town 2:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Crawley Town - Bromley 1:3 ✺

26.12.2025 Crawley Town - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League