Crawley Town vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 27
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.65	1.81
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	7
Passes
75% (280/374)	76% (274/361)
Yellow cards
1	2
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.65	1.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	1.63
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
3	12
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
19	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
16	11
Passes
75% (280/374)	76% (274/361)
Long passes
38% (26/69)	36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
47% (47/99)	72% (74/103)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.10	1.46
Throw ins
25	23
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
74% (14/19)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
53	54
Clearances
37	37
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.63	0.82
Goals prevented
-0.37	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Williams J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
64', Lolos K. 🟥,
68', Jones J. 🟨,
68', Pereira D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
68', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
69', Jones J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
69', Grant C. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
76', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,
85', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
86', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
90+3', Ness L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, McKirdy H. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
32.4%

Draw
27.2%

Notts County
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Crawley Town - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.31 ↑ (2.26)	7.5% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Notts County?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
Crawley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Notts County has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Flower L. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Notts County?

Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crawley Town?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Notts County were as follows:

20.09.2025 Notts County - Crawley Town 4:0

12.03.2024 Crawley Town - Notts County 2:1

28.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:1

04.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:2

Latest results of Crawley Town

04.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Barnet - Crawley Town 2:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Crawley Town - Bromley 1:3 ✺

26.12.2025 Crawley Town - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	43	23	14	6	68:43	25	83
2	MK Dons	43	22	13	8	79:43	36	79
3	Cambridge Utd	42	21	14	7	62:31	31	77
4	Notts Co	43	23	7	13	71:49	22	76
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	43	23	5	15	57:50	7	74
7	Chesterfield	42	18	15	9	64:53	11	69
8	Grimsby	41	19	11	11	62:45	17	68
9	Barnet	43	18	13	12	60:49	11	67
10	Crewe	43	19	9	15	63:53	10	66
11	Oldham	42	17	14	11	52:36	16	65
12	Walsall	43	17	11	15	52:50	2	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	43	15	13	15	53:54	-1	58
15	Bristol Rovers	43	17	4	22	49:63	-14	55
16	Accrington	42	14	9	19	41:48	-7	51
17	Gillingham	42	12	14	16	48:60	-12	50
18	Shrewsbury	43	13	8	22	40:66	-26	47
19	Cheltenham	41	12	10	19	48:67	-19	46
20	Tranmere	42	9	10	23	49:72	-23	37
21	Crawley	43	8	13	22	41:65	-24	37
22	Newport	43	10	7	26	43:73	-30	37
23	Barrow	42	8	9	25	40:68	-28	33
24	Harrogate	43	8	9	26	35:66	-31	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League