Crawley Town vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 27
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.65	1.81
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
3	6
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	7
Passes
75% (280/374)	76% (274/361)
Yellow cards
1	2
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.65	1.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	1.63
Total shots
9	13
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
3	12
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
19	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
16	11
Passes
75% (280/374)	76% (274/361)
Long passes
38% (26/69)	36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
47% (47/99)	72% (74/103)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.10	1.46
Throw ins
25	23
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
74% (14/19)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
53	54
Clearances
37	37
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.63	0.82
Goals prevented
-0.37	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Williams J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
64', Lolos K. 🟥,
68', Jones J. 🟨,
68', Pereira D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
68', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
69', Jones J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
69', Grant C. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
76', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,
85', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
86', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
90+3', Ness L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, McKirdy H. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
32.4%

Draw
27.2%

Notts County
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.4%

40.1%

Crawley Town - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.92)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.31 ↑ (2.26)	7.5% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Notts County?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
Crawley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Notts County has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Flower L. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Notts County?

Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Crawley Town?

Notts County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Notts County were as follows:

20.09.2025 Notts County - Crawley Town 4:0

12.03.2024 Crawley Town - Notts County 2:1

28.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:1

04.11.2023 Notts County - Crawley Town 3:2

Latest results of Crawley Town

04.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Barnet - Crawley Town 2:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Crawley Town - Bromley 1:3 ✺

26.12.2025 Crawley Town - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

10.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Notts County Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Chesterfield - Notts County 2:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Notts County - Walsall 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League