Notts County vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.970.35
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
44
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
73
Passes
81% (390/483)77% (344/449)
Expected goals (xG)
1.970.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.49
Total shots
159
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
87
Passes
81% (390/483)77% (344/449)
Long passes
34% (24/70)40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
67% (75/112)59% (73/123)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.62
Throw ins
3216
Fouls
78
Tackles
64% (9/14)74% (23/31)
Duels won
4859
Clearances
2227
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.491.39
Goals prevented
-0.51-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Clarke O. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Jatta A. , Bedeau J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Clarke O. , Nichols T. ,
  • 59', Holman F. , Palmer O. ,
  • 65', Grant C. , Dennis M. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Dennis M. , Jatta A. (A),
  • 73', Oldaker D. , Olakigbe M. ,
  • 73', Snowdon J. , Tabor J. ,
  • 76', Macari L. , Ness L. ,
  • 77', Iorpenda T. , Robertson S. ,
  • 85', Jones J. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 85', Norburn O. , Ndlovu L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
44%
Draw
28.1%
Swindon Town
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 27.5% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 28.3% 29.1%

Notts County - Swindon Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.13
(2.15)
3.32
(3.34)
3.33
(3.07)
7.1%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Notts County - Swindon Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Swindon (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive) McDonald R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive) Knight-Lebel J. (Inactive) Mabete F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Swindon Town were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Swindon Town - Notts County 2:2
    04.01.2025 Notts County - Swindon Town 2:0
    31.08.2024 Swindon Town - Notts County 1:2
    29.03.2024 Swindon Town - Notts County 2:1
    03.10.2023 Notts County - Swindon Town 3:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    24.01.2026 Bromley - Swindon Town 2:1
    13.01.2026 Luton Town - Swindon Town 1:2
    01.01.2026 Swindon Town - Gillingham 2:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Notts Co30176746:301657
    3Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    4Swindon30174950:341655
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Chesterfield301212649:41848
    9Crewe311381047:38947
    10Barnet301210840:31946
    11Colchester29129843:311245
    12Grimsby29129841:32945
    13Accrington291271035:30543
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport29561829:54-2521
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League