Result
2:2
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (336/452) | 75% (311/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (336/452) | 75% (311/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (39/97) | 21% (14/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (82/129) | 53% (48/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Grant C. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽,
- 21', McDonald R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Robertson S. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
- 63', Jatta A. 🟨,
- 66', Hall T. ↓, Iorpenda T. ↑,
- 67', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 74', Nichols T. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
- 74', Palmer O. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
- 74', McGregor J. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
- 75', Robertson S. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
- 75', Jones J. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 76', Norburn O. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 2, Drinan A. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
- 81', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 82', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
- 84', Oldaker D. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 90+3', Bodin B. 🟨,
- 90+8', Mabete F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
42.9% | Draw
26.3% | Notts County
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Swindon Town - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(2.12) |
3.54 ↓
(3.57) |
3.07 ↓
(3.22) |
6.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to international match.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
- Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Notts County?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Swindon Town?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Notts County were as follows:
04.01.2025
Notts County
-
Swindon Town
2:0
31.08.2024
Swindon Town
-
Notts County
1:2
29.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Notts County
2:1
03.10.2023
Notts County
-
Swindon Town
3:1
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
