Result
2:0
04/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 25
- Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (488/578) | 73% (253/346) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 81% (123/152) | 61% (75/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 11% (2/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 58% (18/31) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Palmer M. (A),
- 29', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 0, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Abbott G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cox G. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
- 46', Kilkenny G. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
- 46', Glatzel P. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 58', Delaney R. 🟨,
- 69', Jatta A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 69', Crowley D. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 71', Barden D. ↓, Bycroft J. ↑,
- 81', Tshimanga K. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
- 82', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 85', Wright W. 🟨,
- 86', Martin J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
- 87', McDonald R. ↓, Cundy R. ↑,
- 90+2', McGoldrick D. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County
54.2% | Draw
23.7% | Swindon Town
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Notts County - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74
(1.74) |
3.97 ↑
(3.72) |
4.24 ↓
(4.44) |
6.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Notts County - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- In this match Notts County is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Notts County won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:18 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Swindon Town?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Notts County?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Swindon Town were as follows:
31.08.2024
Swindon Town
-
Notts County
1:2
29.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Notts County
2:1
03.10.2023
Notts County
-
Swindon Town
3:1
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
