Swindon Town vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Swindon Town - Notts County
Result
2:2
21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 12

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.00
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
74% (336/452)75% (311/415)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.832.21
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
74% (336/452)75% (311/415)
Long passes
40% (39/97)21% (14/68)
Passes in final third
64% (82/129)53% (48/91)
Crosses
12% (3/25)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.36
Throw-ins
3823
Fouls
1017
Tackles
64% (9/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6556
Clearances
1037
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.211.83
Goals prevented
0.21-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Grant C. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Drinan A. ,
  • 21', McDonald R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Robertson S. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Jatta A. , Grant C. (A),
  • 63', Jatta A. 🟨,
  • 66', Hall T. , Iorpenda T. ,
  • 67', Jatta A. , Dennis M. ,
  • 74', Nichols T. , Bodin B. ,
  • 74', Palmer O. , Glatzel P. ,
  • 74', McGregor J. , Snowdon J. ,
  • 75', Robertson S. , Norburn O. ,
  • 75', Jones J. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 76', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Drinan A. , Glatzel P. (A),
  • 81', Tsaroulla N. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 82', Knight-Lebel J. , Mabete F. ,
  • 84', Oldaker D. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 90+3', Bodin B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Mabete F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
42.9%
Draw
26.3%
Notts County
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 26.4% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 26.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Swindon Town - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.12)
    3.54
    (3.57)
    3.07
    (3.22)
    6.7%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
    • Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Notts County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Swindon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Notts County were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Notts County - Swindon Town 2:0
    31.08.2024 Swindon Town - Notts County 1:2
    29.03.2024 Swindon Town - Notts County 2:1
    03.10.2023 Notts County - Swindon Town 3:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League