Result
2:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 29
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (390/483) | 77% (344/449) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (390/483) | 77% (344/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (24/70) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (75/112) | 59% (73/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 74% (23/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Clarke O. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Bedeau J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Clarke O. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 59', Holman F. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 65', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Jatta A. (A),
- 73', Oldaker D. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
- 73', Snowdon J. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
- 76', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 77', Iorpenda T. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 85', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 85', Norburn O. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Notts County
44% | Draw
28.1% | Swindon Town
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Notts County - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.15) |
3.32 ↓
(3.34) |
3.33 ↑
(3.07) |
7.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Notts County - Swindon Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Swindon (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
McDonald R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B.
(Inactive)
Knight-Lebel J.
(Inactive)
Mabete F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Swindon Town?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Notts County?
Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Swindon Town were as follows:
21.10.2025
Swindon Town
-
Notts County
2:2
04.01.2025
Notts County
-
Swindon Town
2:0
31.08.2024
Swindon Town
-
Notts County
1:2
29.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Notts County
2:1
03.10.2023
Notts County
-
Swindon Town
3:1
Latest results of Notts County
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
