Result
1:1
02/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.98 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
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64% | 36% |
Goal Attempts |
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16 | 13 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 11 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Fouls |
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11 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 23 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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20 | 15 |
Passes |
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87% (468/535) | 75% (228/305) |
Passes in the final third |
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78% (135/174) | 57% (56/98) |
Crosses |
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31% (11/36) | 23% (3/13) |
Tackles |
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79% (11/14) | 50% (8/16) |
Clearances Total |
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25 | 39 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Idrissi R. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Artistico G. ⚽, Kouan C. (A),
- 35', Duca E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Defrel G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 46', Caso G. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 63', Fumagalli T. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
- 64', Charlys 🟨,
- 71', Duca E. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
- 75', Ciervo R. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 75', Artistico G. ↓, D'Orazio T. ↑,
- 76', Idrissi R. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Mendes P. ⚽,
- 90', Gliozzi E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena 51.8% | Draw 29% | Nuova Cosenza 19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Modena - Nuova Cosenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↓ (2) |
3.26 ↑ (3.08) |
4.93 ↑ (3.98) |
5.7% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Nuova Cosenza?
Users Predictions:
Modena will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Modena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Cosenza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Modena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Modena is a favorite.
- There will not play in Cosenza: Caporale A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Modena: Di Pardo A.
(Thigh Injury)
Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Nuova Cosenza?
Modena has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Modena?
Nuova Cosenza has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
22.11.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Modena
1:1
10.02.2024
Modena
-
Nuova Cosenza
1:1
29.08.2023
Nuova Cosenza
-
Modena
1:2
21.01.2023
Modena
-
Nuova Cosenza
2:0
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |