Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 10
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.55 | 1.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
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58% (163/279) | 61% (188/309) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.55 | 1.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.29 | 1.58 |
Total shots |
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13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 15 |
Passes |
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58% (163/279) | 61% (188/309) |
Long passes |
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37% (33/90) | 26% (21/80) |
Passes in final third |
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46% (46/101) | 58% (93/160) |
Crosses |
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32% (7/22) | 32% (7/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.62 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 24 |
Fouls |
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15 | 15 |
Tackles |
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65% (13/20) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
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74 | 65 |
Clearances |
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33 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.58 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
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0.58 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Robson J. 🟨,
- 5', 0 - 1, Shelton M. (Pen),
- 5', Shelton M. 🟨,
- 17', Shelton M. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
- 45', Woods R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sutton W. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
- 52', Hannant L. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
- 55', Hawkins O. 🟨,
- 56', Kanu I. 🟨,
- 60', Stead C. ↓, Osadebe E. ↑,
- 62', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 62', Woods R. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Mellon M. (Pen),
- 90+5', Mellon M. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic 34.9% | Draw 28.7% | Barnet 36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Oldham Athletic - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↓ (2.77) |
3.29 ↑ (3.23) |
2.59 ↑ (2.49) |
5.8% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Garner J.
(Inactive)
Leake J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Barnet?
Oldham Athletic has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Oldham Athletic?
Barnet has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Barnet were as follows:
01.03.2025
Oldham Athletic
-
Barnet
0:3
09.11.2024
Barnet
-
Oldham Athletic
0:0
23.01.2024
Oldham Athletic
-
Barnet
2:0
22.11.2023
Barnet
-
Oldham Athletic
1:4
28.02.2023
Barnet
-
Oldham Athletic
1:3
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League