Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (316/387) | 51% (72/141) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (316/387) | 51% (72/141) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 28% (15/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (86/126) | 46% (23/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Quintana H. ⚽, Morales L. (A),
- 20', Ortiz R. 🟨,
- 21', Redes R. 🟨,
- 34', Paredes A. 🟥,
- 37', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Quintana H. ↓, Barreto Viera O. J. ↑,
- 63', Ferreira S. 🟨,
- 64', Morel J. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
- 65', Ferreira S. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 71', Leguizamon I. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
- 77', Torres J. (Pen),
- 81', 1 - 1, Aliseda I. ⚽, Dominguez C. (A),
- 82', Redes R. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
- 89', Torres J. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
- 90+6', Ortiz R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño 42.7% | Draw 28.5% | Olimpia Asuncion 28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↓ (2.24) |
3.28 ↑ (3.24) |
3.23 ↑ (3.18) |
6.8% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1.
- Cerro Porteño has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Olimpia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cerro Porteño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
03.08.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:3
03.05.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
23.02.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
27.10.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
3:0
18.08.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18:32 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )