Result
0:1
21/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.96 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (387/466) | 63% (137/219) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (387/466) | 63% (137/219) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/126) | 45% (32/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Riveros B. ↓, Chaparro M. ↑,
- 38', Quintana H. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Ortiz R. ⚽, Gamarra M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
- 56', Morel J. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
- 67', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
- 67', Cardozo F. ↓, Delmas E. ↑,
- 78', Gimenez G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 78', Dominguez F. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 79', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
- 79', Gamarra M. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
- 79', Vegetti P. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 90', Ortiz R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Olveira G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
42.2% | Draw
29.4% | Olimpia Asuncion
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.02) |
3.16 ↓
(3.86) |
3.24 ↑
(3.17) |
8.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Olimpia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1.
- In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olimpia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerro Porteño will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Cerro Porteño?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
19.10.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
03.08.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:3
03.05.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:2
23.02.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
27.10.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Cerro Porteño
3:0
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Recoleta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Ameliano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Sp. Luqueno | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Guarani | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:22 | -18 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
