Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (325/412) | 74% (245/331) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (325/412) | 74% (245/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (37/77) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (48/85) | 61% (62/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Olmedo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Lezcano R. ⚽, Franco Zayas A. F. (A),
- 56', Aranda S. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
- 60', Silva A. ↓, Alfaro J. F. ↑,
- 61', Delmas E. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
- 67', Rodriguez W. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 68', Benitez J. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 68', Chala A. ↓, Gamarra M. ↑,
- 72', Lezcano R. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
- 72', Ferreira S. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 78', Gamarra M. 🟨,
- 86', Larralde V. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
- 86', Ocampos C. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 89', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
34.6% | Draw
30.7% | Olimpia Asuncion
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+4%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(3.04) |
3.03 ↓
(3.08) |
2.68 ↑
(2.4) |
7.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Sportivo Ameliano (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sportivo Ameliano (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 1.
- Sportivo Ameliano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Olimpia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
04.10.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
2:1
27.07.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
13.04.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
30.01.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:2
03.11.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
