Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Romero B. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/333) | 65% (154/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (245/333) | 65% (154/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (32/65) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (83/133) | 49% (33/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Benitez H. ↓, Aranda P. ↑,
- 37', 0 - 1, Moreira E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benitez R. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 46', Leguizamon I. ↓, Gamarra J. ↑,
- 47', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 47', Alcaraz A. 🟨,
- 60', Ferreira S. ↓, Cardozo F. ↑,
- 60', Quintana H. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
- 60', Dominguez J. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 61', Benitez J. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
- 62', Moreira E. ↓, Zaracho E. ↑,
- 63', Martinich M. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Cardozo F. ⚽, Gamarra J. (A),
- 66', Barreto D. 🟨,
- 68', Baez F. 🟨,
- 68', Vera F. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
- 69', Cardozo F. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Redes R. (Pen),
- 90+3', Vargas G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Asuncion
53.8% | Draw
26.1% | Sportivo Ameliano
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.71) |
3.54 ↓
(3.56) |
4.55 ↓
(4.9) |
8.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Olimpia Asuncion will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Olimpia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano were as follows:
27.07.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
13.04.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
30.01.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:2
03.11.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
25.08.2024
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
