Lobos UPNFM vs Olimpia Tegucigalpa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Total shots
87
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Queiroz F. 🟨,
  • 14', Lopez E. 🟨,
  • 20', Ponce J. 🟨,
  • 38', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Moreira R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Queiroz F. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 46', Garcia F. , Morales M. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Moncada D. ,
  • 56', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 57', Martinez J. , Pena K. ,
  • 63', Lopez E. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 65', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
  • 66', Sanchez C. , Rivas E. ,
  • 66', Arzu M. , Solano E. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Lopez K. ,
  • 78', Bengtson J. , Saenz B. ,
  • 83', Mejia G. , Dolmo J. S. ,
  • 83', Garcia J. , Montiel M. ,
  • 83', Gutierrez C. , Gotay P. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Lobos UPNFM
25.1%
Draw
28.8%
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.1% 25.3% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 25.1% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Tegucigalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Tegucigalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (4.29)
    3.65
    (3.58)
    2.28
    (1.69)
    -4.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
    • Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM 2:0
    05.03.2025 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM 2:0
    18.01.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa 0:1
    09.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa 0:2
    13.09.2024 Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM 3:1
    Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
    27.09.2025 Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM 2:3
    21.09.2025 Real España - Lobos UPNFM 2:0
    18.09.2025 Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón 2:2
    13.09.2025 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 3:3
    10.09.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Olancho 1:1
    Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1494132:161631
    2Marathon1586130:111930
    3Real Espana1464421:14722
    4Olancho1356226:18821
    5UPNFM1555522:27-520
    6Platense1454523:16719
    7Motagua1354423:22119
    8Juticalpa1556418:25-717
    9Choloma1432919:38-1911
    10Genesis1323816:25-99
    11Victoria14121112:30-185

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )