Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Queiroz F. 🟨,
- 14', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 20', Ponce J. 🟨,
- 38', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Moreira R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Queiroz F. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 46', Garcia F. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Moncada D. ⚽,
- 56', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 57', Martinez J. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 63', Lopez E. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 65', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
- 66', Sanchez C. ↓, Rivas E. ↑,
- 66', Arzu M. ↓, Solano E. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Lopez K. ⚽,
- 78', Bengtson J. ↓, Saenz B. ↑,
- 83', Mejia G. ↓, Dolmo J. S. ↑,
- 83', Garcia J. ↓, Montiel M. ↑,
- 83', Gutierrez C. ↓, Gotay P. ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
25.1% | Draw
28.8% | Olimpia Tegucigalpa
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Tegucigalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Tegucigalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↓
(4.29) |
3.65 ↑
(3.58) |
2.28 ↑
(1.69) |
-4.9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
- Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
Lobos UPNFM has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against Lobos UPNFM?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa were as follows:
26.07.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:0
05.03.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:0
18.01.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
0:1
09.11.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
0:2
13.09.2024
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32:16 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Olancho | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16:25 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
