Result
05/10/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
19.1% | Draw
24.8% | Olimpia Tegucigalpa
56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.74 ↑
(4.29) |
3.66 ↑
(3.58) |
1.62 ↓
(1.69) |
10.3%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0.
- Lobos UPNFM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
Lobos UPNFM has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against Lobos UPNFM?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa were as follows:
26.07.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:0
05.03.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:0
18.01.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
0:1
09.11.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
0:2
13.09.2024
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Platense | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
