Olympique Marseille vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille - Lens
Result
0:1
08/03/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 4, ART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.87
Ball Possession
76%24%
Goal Attempts
153
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
30
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
70
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Free Kicks
1215
Offsides
02
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
2115
Touches in the Opposition Box
326
Passes
91% (784/862)70% (195/277)
Passes in the final third
85% (240/283)53% (26/49)
Crosses
14% (4/28)0% (0/1)
Tackles
68% (13/19)57% (17/30)
Clearances Total
939
Interceptions
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Nadir B. , Luis Henrique ,
  • 46', Dedic A. , Greenwood M. ,
  • 53', Rongier V. 🟨,
  • 61', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
  • 66', Diouf A. , Zaroury A. ,
  • 67', Said W. , Fofana R. ,
  • 70', Merlin Q. , Rowe J. ,
  • 77', Bennacer I. 🟨,
  • 78', Bennacer I. , Maupay N. ,
  • 83', Mendy N. , Ojediran H. ,
  • 84', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, El Aynaoui N. , Machado D. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
65.9%
Draw
19.7%
Lens
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 23.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 23% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olympique Marseille - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.72)
    4.87
    (4.01)
    6.66
    (4.65)
    4.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.69%96.41%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 2.
    • Marseille is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lens is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Marseille is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Cornelius D. (Red Card) Harit A. (Calf Injury) Mbemba Ch. (Injury) Moumbagna F. (Knee Injury) Murillo M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lens: Fulgini A. (Yellow Cards) Jhoanner Chavez (Ankle Injury) Koffi H. (Muscle Injury) Labeau Lascary R. (Knee Injury) Medina F. (Yellow Cards) Nzola M. (Red Card) Satriano M. (Knee Injury) Thomasson A. (Yellow Cards)
    • Our prediction for today's Marseille to win the game is with odds 1.46.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Marseille won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:13 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lens were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Lens - Olympique Marseille 1:3
    28.04.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lens 2:1
    12.11.2023 Lens - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    06.05.2023 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    22.10.2022 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Lens
    01.03.2025 Lens - Le Havre 3:4
    23.02.2025 Nantes - Lens 3:1
    16.02.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 0:2
    08.02.2025 Nice - Lens 2:0
    31.01.2025 Montpellier - Lens 0:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2