Result
0:1
08/03/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa |
 Albania | SuperSport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 4, ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (784/862) | 70% (195/277) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 85% (240/283) | 53% (26/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 0% (0/1) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 57% (17/30) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nadir B. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
- 46', Dedic A. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
- 53', Rongier V. 🟨,
- 61', Juma Bah A. 🟨,
- 66', Diouf A. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 67', Said W. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 70', Merlin Q. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
- 77', Bennacer I. 🟨,
- 78', Bennacer I. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
- 83', Mendy N. ↓, Ojediran H. ↑,
- 84', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, El Aynaoui N. ⚽, Machado D. (A),
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
65.9% | Draw
19.7% | Lens
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olympique Marseille - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.72) |
4.87 ↑
(4.01) |
6.66 ↑
(4.65) |
4.4%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lens?
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 2.
- Marseille is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lens is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Marseille is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Cornelius D.
(Red Card)
Harit A.
(Calf Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Injury)
Moumbagna F.
(Knee Injury)
Murillo M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lens: Fulgini A.
(Yellow Cards)
Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
Koffi H.
(Muscle Injury)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Knee Injury)
Medina F.
(Yellow Cards)
Nzola M.
(Red Card)
Satriano M.
(Knee Injury)
Thomasson A.
(Yellow Cards)
- Our prediction for today's Marseille to win the game is with odds 1.46.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Marseille won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:13 (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lens?
Olympique Marseille has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Olympique Marseille?
Lens has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lens were as follows:
23.11.2024
Lens
-
Olympique Marseille
1:3
28.04.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Lens
2:1
12.11.2023
Lens
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
06.05.2023
Lens
-
Olympique Marseille
2:1
22.10.2022
Olympique Marseille
-
Lens
0:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
