Lens vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lens - Olympique Marseille
Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 9
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.62
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
80% (271/338)91% (685/755)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.280.84
Total shots
817
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
08
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1527
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
912
Passes
80% (271/338)91% (685/755)
Long passes
46% (18/39)45% (14/31)
Passes in final third
69% (62/90)78% (153/195)
Crosses
17% (3/18)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.80
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
129
Tackles
47% (9/19)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
3617
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.842.28
Goals prevented
-0.161.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Greenwood M. , Weah T. (A),
  • 22', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Edouard O. (Pen),
  • 34', Thomasson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Vaz R. , Aubameyang P. ,
  • 52', Weah T. , Balerdi L. ,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Pavard B. (Own goal),
  • 61', Pavard B. , Nadir B. ,
  • 69', Said W. , Guilavogui M. ,
  • 74', O'Riley M. , Hojbjerg P. ,
  • 74', Murillo M. , Gomes A. ,
  • 81', Thauvin F. , Sima A. ,
  • 81', Edouard O. , Fofana R. ,
  • 84', Guilavogui M. 🟨,
  • 85', Aguilar R. , Abdulhamid S. ,
  • 87', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 88', Sangare M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lens
36.1%
Draw
28.2%
Olympique Marseille
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 26.6% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 26.5% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Lens - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.86)
    3.37
    (3.6)
    2.7
    (2.39)
    3.6%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lens - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Marseille will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 47.7%81.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lens: Bermont A. (Injury) Sylla F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lens won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1
    23.11.2024 Lens - Olympique Marseille 1:3
    28.04.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lens 2:1
    12.11.2023 Lens - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    06.05.2023 Lens - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    Latest results of Lens
    19.10.2025 Lens - Paris FC 2:1
    04.10.2025 Auxerre - Lens 1:2
    28.09.2025 Rennes - Lens 0:0
    20.09.2025 Lens - Lille 3:0
    14.09.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lens 2:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG962119:81120
    2Lens961214:8619
    3Marseille960322:91318
    4Monaco952218:13517
    5Strasbourg851217:10716
    6Lyon850311:8315
    7Lille842216:10614
    8Toulouse941415:13213
    9Rennes825111:12-111
    10Nice832312:14-211
    11Paris FC931514:17-310
    12Brest923414:17-39
    13Nantes92347:10-39
    14Lorient822412:19-78
    15Auxerre82157:12-57
    16Le Havre813410:16-66
    17Angers81344:12-86
    18Metz80265:20-152

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2