Result
1:0
27/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (315/390) | 83% (350/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (315/390) | 83% (350/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 51% (36/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/114) | 65% (91/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.57 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Patino J. 🟨,
- 29', Garcia Castillo A. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 46', Castano J. 🟨,
- 51', Vasquez J. 🟨,
- 56', Quinones D. ↓, Restrepo E. ↑,
- 59', Arteaga M. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 59', Garcia M. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 68', Malagon J. 🟨,
- 68', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Rodas M. ↑,
- 71', Sierra C. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
- 71', Vasquez J. ↓, Reina H. ↑,
- 78', Barrios M. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
- 80', Contreras J. 🟨,
- 84', Uruena B. ↓, Churi B. ↑,
- 84', Rangel M. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
- 90', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Palacios L. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3puw5dym
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
61.3% | Draw
24.3% | Llaneros SA
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-18.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Once Caldas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llaneros SA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Once Caldas - Llaneros SA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.63) |
3.91 ↑
(3.6) |
6.47 ↑
(5) |
6.8%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Llaneros SA?
Users Predictions:
Once Caldas will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16).
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Once Caldas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Once Caldas is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Llaneros SA?
Once Caldas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Once Caldas?
Llaneros SA has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Llaneros SA were as follows:
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
