Once Caldas vs Unión Magdalena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	1.42
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	5
Passes
78% (264/338)	73% (217/297)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
2.01	0.85
Total shots
16	16
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	9
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
12	8
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	5
Touches in opposition box
23	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
10	10
Passes
78% (264/338)	73% (217/297)
Long passes
52% (33/64)	44% (30/68)
Passes in final third
70% (82/117)	58% (64/110)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.49	0.95
Throw-ins
24	22
Fouls
10	10
Tackles
29% (2/7)	86% (6/7)
Duels won
25	30
Clearances
22	16
Interceptions
9	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.85	2.01
Goals prevented
0.85	1.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Garcia M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Iguaran C. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
73', Mercado J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
73', Sarmiento J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
73', Mosquera D. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
74', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
74', Barrios M. ↓, Ibarguen A. ↑,
88', Garcia M. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
88', Zuleta M. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
90+2', Riquett J. 🟨,
90+4', Riquett J. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mwan9ueu

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
64.5%

Draw
22.2%

Unión Magdalena
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21.7%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

20%

13.9%

Once Caldas - Unión Magdalena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.22 ↓ (4.25)	6.97 ↓ (7.22)	7.3% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 0.
Recent form of Once Caldas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión Magdalena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Once Caldas is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Unión Magdalena?

Once Caldas has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Once Caldas?

Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Unión Magdalena were as follows:

04.05.2025 Unión Magdalena - Once Caldas Abandoned

18.09.2023 Unión Magdalena - Once Caldas 1:1

08.04.2023 Once Caldas - Unión Magdalena 1:1

Latest results of Once Caldas

22.10.2025 Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas 2:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Llaneros SA - Once Caldas 2:0 ✺

13.10.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín 1:5 ✺

09.10.2025 Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional 0:1 ✺

06.10.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

17.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Envigado 3:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Unión Magdalena 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin ✔	19	11	4	4	43:28	15	37
2	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	7	2	37:22	15	37
3	Bucaramanga ✔	19	11	4	4	31:17	14	37
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	19	11	2	6	27:16	11	35
5	Fortaleza ✔	19	9	8	2	25:17	8	35
6	Junior	19	9	5	5	33:24	9	32
7	Aguilas	19	7	6	6	28:25	3	27
8	America De Cali	18	7	5	6	20:16	4	26
9	Alianza	18	7	5	6	22:21	1	26
10	Santa Fe	18	6	7	5	19:17	2	25
11	Llaneros	19	7	4	8	17:22	-5	25
12	Millonarios	19	6	5	8	21:25	-4	23
13	Once Caldas	18	6	5	7	19:23	-4	23
14	Dep. Cali	18	5	5	8	21:26	-5	20
15	U. Magdalena	18	5	3	10	20:29	-9	18
16	Pereira	19	4	6	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Envigado	19	3	8	8	15:22	-7	17
18	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
19	Chico	18	3	7	8	13:25	-12	16
20	La Equidad	19	2	5	12	10:29	-19	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )