Result
2:0
23/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (426/498) | 79% (319/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (426/498) | 79% (319/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 43% (20/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/113) | 60% (53/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Lucca 🟨,
- 30', Igor Formiga 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Rodrigues ⚽, Pedro Lucas (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lucca ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
- 46', Marlon ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 55', Pedro Lucas ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
- 57', Patrick 🟨,
- 60', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, Boschilia (Pen),
- 65', Bruno Jose ↓, Airton ↑,
- 65', Willian Farias ↓, Mayk ↑,
- 65', Zuluaga J. ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
- 66', Vinicius Mingotti ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
- 71', Thiaguinho 🟨,
- 72', Fabio Matheus ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 75', Diogo Mateus ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
- 75', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
Chances of winning
Operário Ferroviario
33.8% | Draw
34.1% | Grêmio Novorizontino
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.7) |
2.76 ↓
(3.03) |
2.95 ↑
(2.63) |
6.6%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Operário PR is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Novorizontino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Operário PR has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Operário PR: Ademilson
(Injury)
Indio
(Injury)
Jean Lucas
(Injury)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Jean Irmer
(Red Card)
Leo Natel
(Inactive)
Rafael Donato
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
Robson
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Operário Ferroviario has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Operário Ferroviario?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
09.11.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Operário Ferroviario
0:1
23.07.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:0
06.11.2022
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:3
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 4 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
