Operário Ferroviario vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
2:0
23/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 13
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.55
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
86% (426/498)79% (319/405)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.13
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
119
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
88
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
209
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
26
Free Kicks
713
Passes
86% (426/498)79% (319/405)
Long passes
43% (20/46)43% (20/47)
Passes in final third
74% (84/113)60% (53/89)
Crosses
23% (3/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.48
Throw-ins
2129
Fouls
137
Tackles
85% (11/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1510
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.131.94
Goals prevented
0.13-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Lucca 🟨,
  • 30', Igor Formiga 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Rodrigues , Pedro Lucas (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucca , Leo Natel ,
  • 46', Marlon , Luis Oyama ,
  • 55', Pedro Lucas , Marcos Paulo ,
  • 57', Patrick 🟨,
  • 60', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Boschilia (Pen),
  • 65', Bruno Jose , Airton ,
  • 65', Willian Farias , Mayk ,
  • 65', Zuluaga J. , Thiaguinho ,
  • 66', Vinicius Mingotti , Gabriel Feliciano ,
  • 71', Thiaguinho 🟨,
  • 72', Fabio Matheus , Ruiz O. ,
  • 75', Diogo Mateus , Gabriel Souza ,
  • 75', Rodrigo Rodrigues , Jhemerson ,

Chances of winning


Operário Ferroviario
33.8%
Draw
34.1%
Grêmio Novorizontino
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 30.5% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 30.4% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.7)
    2.76
    (3.03)
    2.95
    (2.63)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Operário PR is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Novorizontino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Operário PR has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Operário PR: Ademilson (Injury) Indio (Injury) Jean Lucas (Injury)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Jean Irmer (Red Card) Leo Natel (Inactive) Rafael Donato (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Robson (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario 0:1
    23.07.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0
    06.11.2022 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:3
    Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Cuiaba1884622:21128
    6Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    7Remo1768319:15426
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1746712:20-818

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )