Result
3:0
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 32
- Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/396) | 81% (353/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/396) | 81% (353/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 36% (26/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (73/117) | 66% (65/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Patrick Brey ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
- 46', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 46', Pablo Dyego ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
- 47', Patrick 🟨,
- 49', Ademilson (Pen),
- 64', 1 - 0, Lucca ⚽,
- 67', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kleiton ↑,
- 67', Ademilson ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
- 67', Cristiano ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
- 72', Giraldo J. ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Feliciano 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 0, Lucca ⚽, Cesar Martins (A),
- 81', Luis Oyama ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
- 82', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
- 83', Tavinho ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 85', Zuluaga J. ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
- 87', 3 - 0, Jean Irmer ⚽, Lucca (A),
- 90', Neto Paraiba 🟨,
- 90+3', Cesar Martins 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio Novorizontino
49.1% | Draw
30.5% | Operário Ferroviario
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.83) |
3.08 ↓
(3.1) |
4.58 ↓
(4.7) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 13).
- Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Operário PR is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Novorizontino is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Dantas
(Yellow Cards)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Nathan Fogaca
(Injury)
Rai Ramos
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Robson
(Red Card)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
Waguininho
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira
(Inactive)
Filipe Claudino
(Injury)
Pedro Vilhena
(Yellow Cards)
Thales Oleques
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas
(Inactive)
Romulo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Leo Cittadini
(Injury)
Marcos Paulo
(Muscle Injury)
Talles
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Operário Ferroviario?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Operário Ferroviario has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
23.06.2025
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
2:0
09.11.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Operário Ferroviario
0:1
23.07.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:0
06.11.2022
Operário Ferroviario
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
0:3
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Goias | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Remo | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 51 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 49 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | CRB | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 38:33 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Avai | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 | America MG | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:39 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Ferroviaria | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 22:34 | -12 | 34 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 33 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
