Grêmio Novorizontino vs Operário Ferroviario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte).

Serie B Superbet - Round 32
Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.50	2.14
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
82% (323/396)	81% (353/435)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50	2.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.86	0.94
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
18	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	7
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
82% (323/396)	81% (353/435)
Long passes
55% (28/51)	36% (26/73)
Passes in final third
62% (73/117)	66% (65/98)
Crosses
9% (2/22)	7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.59
Throw-ins
19	24
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
50% (4/8)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
32	40
Clearances
16	27
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.94	2.86
Goals prevented
0.94	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Luis Oyama 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Patrick Brey ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
46', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Lucca ↑,
46', Pablo Dyego ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
47', Patrick 🟨,
49', Ademilson (Pen),
64', 1 - 0, Lucca ⚽,
67', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kleiton ↑,
67', Ademilson ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
67', Cristiano ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
72', Giraldo J. ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
74', Gabriel Feliciano 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Lucca ⚽, Cesar Martins (A),
81', Luis Oyama ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
82', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
83', Tavinho ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
85', Zuluaga J. ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Jean Irmer ⚽, Lucca (A),
90', Neto Paraiba 🟨,
90+3', Cesar Martins 🟨,

Chances of winning

Grêmio Novorizontino
49.1%

Draw
30.5%

Operário Ferroviario
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

29.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	4.58 ↓ (4.7)	6.9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 54% – 99.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.25 - Novorizontino (3.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 13).
Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Operário PR is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Novorizontino is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Novorizontino: Dantas (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Robson (Red Card) Vitinho (Inactive) Waguininho (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Pedro Vilhena (Yellow Cards) Thales Oleques (Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Romulo (Injury)
There are questionable in Operário PR: Leo Cittadini (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Talles (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Operário Ferroviario?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Operário Ferroviario has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:

23.06.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:0

09.11.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario 0:1

23.07.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0

06.11.2022 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:3

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

08.10.2025 Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺

23.09.2025 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Operário Ferroviario

08.10.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club 1:4 ✺

05.10.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Remo 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas 2:1 ✺

18.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Avai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ceara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Sport Recife	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Goias	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Nautico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CRB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Criciuma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Vila Nova FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Juventude	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ponte Preta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Atletico GO	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	America MG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Botafogo SP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Londrina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sao Bernardo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cuiaba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Operario-PR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Novorizontino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
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