Orange County SC vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
4:4
30/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: May C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network SoCal
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.33
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (411/456)86% (357/415)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
2.211.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.471.84
Total shots
129
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
90% (411/456)86% (357/415)
Long passes
68% (39/57)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
72% (80/111)82% (115/141)
Crosses
40% (6/15)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.80
Throw-ins
1613
Fouls
1414
Tackles
79% (11/14)80% (16/20)
Duels won
4747
Clearances
1311
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.842.47
Goals prevented
-1.16-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Daley A. ⚽, Tregarthen S. (A),
  • 16', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 21', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Miles A. ⚽, Guimaraes P. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Damus R. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 2, Zubak E. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
  • 46', Hamouda R. ↓, Paterson AJ ↑,
  • 48', Ciotta N. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 3, Latinovich V. (Own goal),
  • 54', 3 - 3, Guimaraes P. ⚽, Doghman R. (A),
  • 56', Jamison B. 🟨,
  • 57', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 62', 3 - 4, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Martinez E. (A),
  • 66', 4 - 4, Hegardt C. ⚽,
  • 71', Jamison B. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
  • 71', Sylla O. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
  • 74', Molina R. 🟨,
  • 84', Laszo E. 🟨,
  • 86', Martinez E. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
  • 86', Tregarthen S. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
  • 89', Zubak E. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 90', Daley A. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
49.6%		Draw
25.8%		Birmingham Legion
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.7% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 25.2% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↑
    (1.87)    		 3.66 ↑
    (3.6)    		 3.82 ↑
    (3.71)    		 6.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion?
  • Users Predictions: Orange County SC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orange County SC will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • Orange County SC might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Birmingham Legion - Orange County SC 3:0
    22.04.2023 Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    23.08.2025 Tulsa - Orange County SC 1:0
    16.08.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC 0:1
    09.08.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC 1:1 ✺
    30.07.2025 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 4:1 ✺
    26.07.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 0:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    23.08.2025 Birmingham Legion - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:1
    20.08.2025 Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion 1:0
    09.08.2025 Birmingham Legion - Hartford Athletic 1:4
    02.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion 3:3 ✺
    26.07.2025 Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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