Result
4:0
19/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (489/535) | 83% (263/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (489/535) | 83% (263/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (32/46) | 51% (36/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (98/123) | 53% (29/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -1.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', Zubak E. (Pen),
- 12', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Doghman R. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
- 39', Pearson C. 🟥,
- 41', 3 - 0, War M. ⚽, Sylla O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Stojanovic S. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
- 46', Singer J. ↓, Nigro G. ↑,
- 58', Sylla O. 🟨,
- 63', Ciotta N. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 63', Doghman R. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
- 64', Covil V. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
- 64', Leal P. ↓, Peeters D. ↑,
- 71', Latinovich V. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
- 75', Sylla O. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
- 75', Partida K. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
- 82', Smart S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
- 89', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
- 89', 4 - 0, Hegardt C. ⚽,
- 90+2', Pickering N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
51.6% | Draw
26% | Las Vegas Lights
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orange County SC's form might have worsened.Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orange County SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.6) |
3.55 ↓
(3.9) |
4.13 ↓
(5.1) |
8.3%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Orange County SC is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Las Vegas Lights?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Orange County SC?
Las Vegas Lights has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
26.04.2025
Orange County SC
-
Las Vegas Lights
1:3
05.04.2025
Las Vegas Lights
-
Orange County SC
1:0
05.10.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Orange County SC
1:1
31.08.2024
Orange County SC
-
Las Vegas Lights
2:3
02.09.2023
Las Vegas Lights
-
Orange County SC
1:5
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Lexington | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
| 12 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
