Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights
Result
4:0
19/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.06
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
91% (489/535)83% (263/318)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.03
Total shots
184
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
120
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
261
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
91% (489/535)83% (263/318)
Long passes
70% (32/46)51% (36/70)
Passes in final third
80% (98/123)53% (29/55)
Crosses
33% (4/12)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.08
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
1518
Tackles
88% (14/16)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5034
Clearances
1116
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.032.05
Goals prevented
0.03-1.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', Zubak E. (Pen),
  • 12', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ⚽,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Doghman R. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
  • 39', Pearson C. 🟥,
  • 41', 3 - 0, War M. ⚽, Sylla O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Stojanovic S. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
  • 46', Singer J. ↓, Nigro G. ↑,
  • 58', Sylla O. 🟨,
  • 63', Ciotta N. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
  • 63', Doghman R. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
  • 64', Covil V. ↓, Gannon C. ↑,
  • 64', Leal P. ↓, Peeters D. ↑,
  • 71', Latinovich V. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
  • 75', Sylla O. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
  • 75', Partida K. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
  • 82', Smart S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
  • 89', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Hegardt C. ⚽,
  • 90+2', Pickering N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
51.6%		Draw
26%		Las Vegas Lights
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.8% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 23.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orange County SC's form might have worsened.
  • Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orange County SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
    •

    Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.79 ↑
    (1.6)    		 3.55 ↓
    (3.9)    		 4.13 ↓
    (5.1)    		 8.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Orange County SC is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    05.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:0
    05.10.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:1
    31.08.2024 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 2:3
    02.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:5
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    11.07.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 2:1
    03.07.2025 Loudoun United - Orange County SC 0:0 ✺
    14.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:3 ✺
    07.06.2025 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 3:1
    31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    12.07.2025 Tulsa - Las Vegas Lights 4:3 ✺
    04.07.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺
    21.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0
    07.06.2025 San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights 3:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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