Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights
Result
4:0
19/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.06
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
91% (489/535)83% (263/318)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.860.06
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.03
Total shots
184
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
120
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
261
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
91% (489/535)83% (263/318)
Long passes
70% (32/46)51% (36/70)
Passes in final third
80% (98/123)53% (29/55)
Crosses
33% (4/12)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.08
Throw-ins
1116
Fouls
1518
Tackles
88% (14/16)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5034
Clearances
1116
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.032.05
Goals prevented
0.03-1.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', Zubak E. (Pen),
  • 12', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Doghman R. , Hegardt C. (A),
  • 39', Pearson C. 🟥,
  • 41', 3 - 0, War M. , Sylla O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Stojanovic S. , Covil V. ,
  • 46', Singer J. , Nigro G. ,
  • 58', Sylla O. 🟨,
  • 63', Ciotta N. , Santos K. ,
  • 63', Doghman R. , Guimaraes P. ,
  • 64', Covil V. , Gannon C. ,
  • 64', Leal P. , Peeters D. ,
  • 71', Latinovich V. , Miles A. ,
  • 75', Sylla O. , Dunbar C. ,
  • 75', Partida K. , Karam G. ,
  • 82', Smart S. , Pickering N. ,
  • 89', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Hegardt C. ,
  • 90+2', Pickering N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
51.6%
Draw
26%
Las Vegas Lights
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.8% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 23.5% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orange County SC's form might have worsened.
  • Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orange County SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.6)
    3.55
    (3.9)
    4.13
    (5.1)
    8.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Orange County SC is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3
    05.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:0
    05.10.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:1
    31.08.2024 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 2:3
    02.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC 1:5
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )