Lexington vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Lexington - Orange County SC
Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.12
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
130
Passes
90% (398/442)76% (222/291)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.04
Total shots
194
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
130
Touches in opposition box
394
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
90% (398/442)76% (222/291)
Long passes
47% (8/17)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
89% (156/175)68% (39/57)
Crosses
24% (10/41)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.12
Throw-ins
138
Fouls
1211
Tackles
71% (5/7)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
836
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.040.94
Goals prevented
-0.96-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Ciotta N. , Latinovich V. ,
  • 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Jamison B. , Benalcazar N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Pinto M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Ajago F. , Sargeant K. (A),
  • 64', Jamison B. , Trager T. ,
  • 64', Pinto M. , Karam G. ,
  • 65', Ferri B. 🟨,
  • 72', Karam G. 🟨,
  • 72', Williams D. , Burke C. ,
  • 74', Zubak E. , Dunbar C. ,
  • 74', War M. , Molina R. ,
  • 85', Rodrigues B. P. , Midence A. ,
  • 85', Gilbert G. , Epps M. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
49.4%
Draw
27.3%
Orange County SC
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.2% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Lexington - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.96)
    3.42
    (3.39)
    3.99
    (3.59)
    7.4%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lexington - Orange County SC?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lexington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orange County SC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • Lexington might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Orange County SC were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Orange County SC - Lexington 2:2
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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