Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 0.12 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
90% (398/442) | 76% (222/291) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 0.12 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.94 | 0.04 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 4 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
90% (398/442) | 76% (222/291) |
Long passes |
---|
47% (8/17) | 40% (25/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
89% (156/175) | 68% (39/57) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (10/41) | 0% (0/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.39 | 0.12 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 8 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (5/7) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.04 | 0.94 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.96 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Ciotta N. ↓, Latinovich V. ↑,
- 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Jamison B. ⚽, Benalcazar N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Ajago F. ⚽, Sargeant K. (A),
- 64', Jamison B. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 64', Pinto M. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
- 65', Ferri B. 🟨,
- 72', Karam G. 🟨,
- 72', Williams D. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
- 74', Zubak E. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
- 74', War M. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
- 85', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
- 85', Gilbert G. ↓, Epps M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lexington 49.4% | Draw 27.3% | Orange County SC 23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Lexington - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↓ (1.96) |
3.42 ↑ (3.39) |
3.99 ↑ (3.59) |
7.4% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lexington - Orange County SC?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Lexington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Orange County SC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
- Lexington might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Orange County SC?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Lexington?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Orange County SC were as follows:
15.03.2025
Orange County SC
-
Lexington
2:2
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )