Result
18/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
33.7% | Draw
29.3% | Lexington
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orange County SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lexington, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Orange County SC - Lexington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.44) |
3.14 ↑
(3.07) |
2.49 ↓
(2.85) |
8.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Orange County SC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lexington has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Orange County SC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Lexington?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Orange County SC?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Lexington were as follows:
12.09.2025
Lexington
-
Orange County SC
1:1
15.03.2025
Orange County SC
-
Lexington
2:2
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Lexington
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
