Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (398/442) | 76% (222/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (398/442) | 76% (222/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 89% (156/175) | 68% (39/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (10/41) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Ciotta N. ↓, Latinovich V. ↑,
- 42', Adedokun M. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Jamison B. ⚽, Benalcazar N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Pinto M. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Ajago F. ⚽, Sargeant K. (A),
- 64', Jamison B. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 64', Pinto M. ↓, Karam G. ↑,
- 65', Ferri B. 🟨,
- 72', Karam G. 🟨,
- 72', Williams D. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
- 74', Zubak E. ↓, Dunbar C. ↑,
- 74', War M. ↓, Molina R. ↑,
- 85', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
- 85', Gilbert G. ↓, Epps M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lexington
49.4% | Draw
27.3% | Orange County SC
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Lexington - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.96) |
3.42 ↑
(3.39) |
3.99 ↑
(3.59) |
7.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lexington - Orange County SC?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Lexington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Orange County SC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
- Lexington might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Orange County SC?
Lexington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Lexington?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Orange County SC were as follows:
15.03.2025
Orange County SC
-
Lexington
2:2
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
