North Carolina vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC).

USL Championship
Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.38	1.38
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
7	20
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
0	10
Passes
81% (319/394)	86% (353/409)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38	1.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	0.64
Total shots
7	20
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
3	11
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
2	7
Shots outside the Box
5	13
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
0	10
Touches in opposition box
7	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
81% (319/394)	86% (353/409)
Long passes
39% (17/44)	56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
66% (57/87)	73% (69/95)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	34% (11/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.49	1.06
Throw-ins
19	23
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
90% (9/10)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
42	37
Clearances
34	19
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.64	0.74
Goals prevented
0.64	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Servania J. 🟨,
41', Latinovich V. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Da Costa R. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Jamison B. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
64', Latinovich V. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
65', Da Costa R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
74', Servania J. ↓, Burner P. ↑,
75', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
80', Dunbar C. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
83', Partida K. 🟨,
84', Partida K. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
84', Scott K. ↓, Miles A. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

North Carolina
46.3%

Draw
28.4%

Orange County SC
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orange County SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Carolina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orange County SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

North Carolina - Orange County SC Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.44)	3.27 ↑ (3.14)	3.67 ↑ (2.83)	7.8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for North Carolina - Orange County SC?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - North Carolina (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Users Predictions: North Carolina will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): North Carolina will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Orange County SC?

North Carolina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against North Carolina?

Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Orange County SC were as follows:

03.08.2024 Orange County SC - North Carolina 0:1

Latest results of North Carolina

06.05.2025 North Carolina - Charlotte 1:4 ✺

03.05.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina 0:2 ✺

25.04.2025 North Carolina - Charlotte Independence 1:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Miami - North Carolina 2:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Charlotte Independence - North Carolina 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Orange County SC

03.05.2025 Orange County SC - Tulsa 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 AV Alta - Orange County SC 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )