Result
1:0
09/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (319/394) | 86% (353/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (319/394) | 86% (353/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 56% (22/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (57/87) | 73% (69/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 34% (11/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Servania J. 🟨,
- 41', Latinovich V. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Da Costa R. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Jamison B. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 64', Latinovich V. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
- 65', Da Costa R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 74', Servania J. ↓, Burner P. ↑,
- 75', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
- 80', Dunbar C. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
- 83', Partida K. 🟨,
- 84', Partida K. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
- 84', Scott K. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
Chances of winning
North Carolina
46.3% | Draw
28.4% | Orange County SC
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orange County SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Carolina that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orange County SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North Carolina - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.44) |
3.27 ↑
(3.14) |
3.67 ↑
(2.83) |
7.8%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for North Carolina - Orange County SC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - North Carolina (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Users Predictions:
North Carolina will win
(17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): North Carolina will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, North Carolina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, North Carolina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Orange County SC?
North Carolina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against North Carolina?
Orange County SC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina - Orange County SC were as follows:
03.08.2024
Orange County SC
-
North Carolina
0:1
Latest results of North Carolina
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
