Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
82% (325/396) | 70% (209/297) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 1.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.36 | 1.58 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
82% (325/396) | 70% (209/297) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (30/56) | 44% (27/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (99/140) | 62% (89/144) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 10% (2/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.25 | 0.95 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 79% (15/19) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
49 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.58 | 2.36 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.58 | 1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Savelyev M. 🟨,
- 15', Mansilla B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 51', Malykh A. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Karatas K. ⚽,
- 62', Kasimov A. ↓, Mikhailov Y. ↑,
- 66', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
- 67', Zabolotnyi A. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
- 75', Corredera A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 75', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Orinho ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Rudenko A. ⚽,
- 81', Gurluk E. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 81', Mansilla B. ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
- 90+2', Revazov A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bakaev Z. ↓, Amian B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orenburg 46.7% | Draw 24.4% | Khimki 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Orenburg - Khimki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.2) |
3.93 ↓ (3.96) |
3.33 ↑ (3.24) |
4.2% (1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Khimki?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orenburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Orenburg will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 2.
- Orenburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Khimki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Orenburg could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G.
(Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
Saharkhizan S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Khimki: Farina E.
(Muscle Injury)
Luna D.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Khimki?
Orenburg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Khimki won against Orenburg?
Khimki has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Khimki were as follows:
23.10.2024
Orenburg
-
Khimki
2:0
22.09.2024
Khimki
-
Orenburg
0:0
31.07.2024
Khimki
-
Orenburg
1:0
23.02.2023
Khimki
-
Orenburg
2:5
04.11.2022
Khimki
-
Orenburg
2:0
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL