Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/396) | 70% (209/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/396) | 70% (209/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (99/140) | 62% (89/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Savelyev M. 🟨,
- 15', Mansilla B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 51', Malykh A. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Karatas K. ⚽,
- 62', Kasimov A. ↓, Mikhailov Y. ↑,
- 66', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
- 67', Zabolotnyi A. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
- 75', Corredera A. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
- 75', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Orinho ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Rudenko A. ⚽,
- 81', Gurluk E. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 81', Mansilla B. ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
- 90+2', Revazov A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bakaev Z. ↓, Amian B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
46.7% | Draw
24.4% | Khimki
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Orenburg - Khimki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.2) |
3.93 ↓
(3.96) |
3.33 ↑
(3.24) |
4.2%
(1.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Khimki?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orenburg (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Orenburg will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 2.
- Orenburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Khimki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Orenburg could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G.
(Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
Saharkhizan S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Khimki: Farina E.
(Muscle Injury)
Luna D.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Khimki?
Orenburg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Khimki won against Orenburg?
Khimki has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Khimki were as follows:
23.10.2024
Orenburg
-
Khimki
2:0
22.09.2024
Khimki
-
Orenburg
0:0
31.07.2024
Khimki
-
Orenburg
1:0
23.02.2023
Khimki
-
Orenburg
2:5
04.11.2022
Khimki
-
Orenburg
2:0
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
