Result
3:1
25/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (262/354) | 69% (236/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (262/354) | 69% (236/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 33% (24/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (70/113) | 54% (44/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 3.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Perez Tica J. (Pen),
- 30', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Velasco P. ⚽, Mena A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 1, Bianchi O. ⚽, Velasco P. (A),
- 62', Vasquez S. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 67', Batalla H. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 68', Leon J. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
- 74', Bianchi O. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 74', Romero N. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 76', Estacio J. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 76', Vega E. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 82', Olinick A. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 82', Mena A. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 1, Cabeza E. (Own goal),
- 87', Perez Tica J. ↓, Cagua G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense
48.1% | Draw
29.9% | Delfín
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Delfín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orense - Delfín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.02) |
3.08 ↓
(3.2) |
4.17 ↑
(3.77) |
8.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Orense - Delfín?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Orense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Orense has had a series of away games.
- Orense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Delfín?
Orense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Orense?
Delfín has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Delfín were as follows:
04.05.2025
Delfín
-
Orense
0:0
01.11.2024
Orense
-
Delfín
0:0
12.05.2024
Delfín
-
Orense
0:1
05.08.2023
Orense
-
Delfín
0:0
27.02.2023
Delfín
-
Orense
1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Macara | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Libertad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Delfin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Tecnico U | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Manta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Aucas | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Orense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Emelec | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
